Itstrainingtime

Temp is climbing pretty quickly now, up to 43.

Maytown:

GFS has a little white rain around next Thursday and then an Apps runner the following week that as is showing now would be a snow>mix>rain event. That is around March 11th. That's also the only storm of significance for the entirety of the run.

Yeah, I mean when I went to bed everything was frozen - roads, trees, sidewalks, bedroom, grass, mulch, power lines, etc. It was pouring sleet and it "seemed" to me to be the biggest ice event at my casa in a long time. Ground is still white in spots now.

It started as a burst of ZR here...after 10-15 minutes, it flipped to heavy sleet. That lasted about 30 minutes. There was a brief pause, then a good 2+ hours of moderate to heavy sleet that was winding down when I fell asleep between 1-1:30am. I wonder if you were raining during that period...

Also, in hindsight I wish I would have measured the sleet. I have no idea how much I received but it was certainly more than .1". I had about 3 hours of sleet, much of it was moderate to heavy.

Agreed.

Looks like the snow underperformed well up into NY State based on their thread this morning. Sleet line moved farther north than anticipated (shocking) and they're saying that it's winding down quicker than thought as well.

Sometimes the weather excites us Sometimes the weather frustrates us Sometimes the weather makes us sad Sometimes the weather fascinates us Sometimes the weather might even scare us And sometimes...the weather humbles us I was seriously downplaying the ice factor for last night. I was wrong, and I'm not afraid to admit it. Another lesson learned, to file away and add to 50 years of continuous learning. That's what I love most about this hobby - you just don't really know.

Interesting...everything save the roads (which is slushy) is still encased in ice. My steps and sidewalk are a mess. Things are improving now that the temp is 31.9, but this greatly exceeded my "prediction".

Wow. Even the roads are white here.

Temp now at 29.8. Ground has a coating of sleet already. Mag, you were all over this. Kudos.

It's sleet. And it's pouring sleet.

Rain here - no sleet at all at least at the onset. Edit: it's raining hard.

Amazing microclimate they have down there.

I honestly don't know. Temps will probably drop at least a degree or two initially I'd think.

Radar does look very good to our west - it's going to come down to temperatures and how far we can fall below freezing at onset.

Thanks, great writeup/discussion. I have dropped below freezing here (31.8) so perhaps there will be a little more than what I bargained for. Speaking of which, do you know where I can find road temp data?

Yeah, you might need a chisel by morning...

33/28 here now - I expect zero icing on roads in this area. Perhaps some glazing on trees and power lines for a few hours later tonight. I think you need to get up in the MSV until there's issues of significance. Not unexpected.

24 hours later, CTP isn't looking so bad for waiting to hoist advisories.

Latest from Elliott at MU: I created a "Wintry Mix Timeline" to depict arrival times of sleet/frz. rain this evening. Areas along & south of the PA Turnpike may only see a 15-30 min. period of #sleet before a transition to #ice, while areas north of the Turnpike receive up to 0.5" of sleet. #pawx

CTP has removed sleet from my forecast other than a 20% chance before 8pm. All precip I do get is expected to be rain or freezing rain.

Not good. I'm now at 35/26. I could say more but won't. LOL

Thanks for posting both the temp and dewpoints - I'm at 34/24 at home right now. Have a hard time believing I drop much below freezing this evening. We'll find out soon enough.