I mean...it's possible, especially if the WAA is weak sauce. If snow is going to confined to merely a couple/few hours before it flips, it better rip or it will end as much adieu about nothing.
Honestly...truly...objectively...
No.
But, I do think it will be much closer than a lot people think. To win, I think they need to force 3 TO's at a minimum. If KC plays super sloppy...maybe.
Agree 100%. I'm not expecting what the Euro's suggesting. Though, with each incremental pullback, by 12z Sunday it might be down to 1-2".
My specific point was that for most of the week almost our entire area was in purples or pinks on those lovely snow maps. The pinks have shrunk while the purples keep retreating west with each new run. If you lived 150 miles inside of the purples it looks like the Euro is holding steady...but it really has not for those of us livin' on the edge.
Euro has been pretty steady and it's the best we got right now. Even so, with each successive run it's peeling away the SE edge of the snowfall. I went from 8" 48 hours ago to less than 4" today.
Not arguing so much as to say that when you're living on the edge you notice those changes. If you live west of I-81 it's steady as she goes perhaps.
I think this storm is more longitude driven than our typical latitude storms. Further west is more important than north. At least down here in southern areas.
If there's a ton of sleet that's included in snowfall measurements, correct? So, if someone gets 5" of snow followed by 2" of sleet in the central mountains, then the a Winter Storm Warning would have verified. Or do I have that wrong?
In and out of meetings today and time here is limited. All I need to really know is at the bottom of my screen - last evening there were 32 members online. Right now? 11.
A couple of red taggers were mentioning last evening that this is the type of storm where the mix will occur even faster, and much farther N&W than the models currently indicate. It will be something to watch on Sunday PM/early Monday to see what happens out towards true Central PA.
It matters a lot to us - I know you've been watching the guidance slowly bleed in a bad way for you and me seemingly each day this week. Any adjustment E/SE for us right now is huge...