Itstrainingtime

If the GFS and others don't make a move with the weekend system at 12z, my storm will be on life support. Right now it's on...life support. Still think the setup could provide southerners with a moderate snowfall.

I've got about 1.5" here. It'll disappear tomorrow for sure.

Bring it home. I hate setups like this because I feel like the models won't have a handle on something this delicate. Too much can go wrong. Saying that, I fully expect some areas will get a nice, small event. Problem is...too many people won't.

Fair enough, I had no idea there was that much of a discrepancy. You caught me off guard because you're usually positive and I'm the one throwing the less-rosy posts around.

You just made the best decision on these forums yet.

Perspective I guess, but I'm running ahead of climo for snowfall to date. Agree that it doesn't really feel like it.

Yes, it was slick on my drive to work but bone dry on my way home.

Your drive to Mount Joy should be just fine. Only roads with issues are developments.

Well, if it's the clueless NAM it can't be right...right?

LOL

I did not notice that about Jeb, hopefully he's okay. He certainly brings...passion to the boards. He's Blizz on steroids. LOL My road was a slushy quagmire early this morning. 12 hours later, it's an ever so slightly less slushy quagmire.

That's exactly why I stopped at 30". More than enough snow, hopefully resulting in minimal or no damage.

First week of January Temps below 20 at onset and throughout the duration of the storm Instant stickage to all surfaces immediately 30" of snow with a layer of sleet mixed in on the surface Temps in the teens by day, zero or below at night for at least the following 3-5 days Minimal drifting - drifting leaves too many open areas exposed that quickly become green even when it's cold

Just seeing this...what a day at work. We are missing a TON of people due to illness. In my mind, and I'm an overthinker - amounts are a good starting point for sure, but it's only part of my consideration. For example, 8" of wind-driven snow is different than 8" of mid-March paste that is largely gone in 4 hours. So sometimes smaller amounts seem more significant to me than larger amounts do at other times. I like everyone's input - really, it is our own personal perception. Only thing I'd add to each list is the BECS criteria. For me, that's anything greater than 36". I say this because LNS has never had a storm that large, so that would be of biblical proportions to me.

I'm telling you...watch the weekend.

You must have missed what came through here last night. Winds were definitely stronger than that. And by a good bit, too.

It definitely made me do...something.

Guarantee they'll win this coming Friday night! (my next 76ers loss)

I sure don't think so. I think this weekend needs watched very closely. Still think, especially for SE areas that we might score.

Skies are starting to clear now. That was a fun storm to track, and packed quite a wallop. And oh yeah...it's trash night here. Which means that it's time for the winds to start doing their thing.

Okay, this is very well done! Thanks for the Monday morning laugh!

With this morning's snow, I've reached 4" of total accumulation for the storm. Ground truth right now is closer to 1.5", but as Anotherman said, given the extreme rainfall rates overnight I fully expected to see nothing but green and some piles this morning.

Those are very good points. GFS was the first to head west.

NAM stirs up a lot of emotions...I'll continue to defend as it does better than a lot give it credit for.

It's accumulating pretty rapidly here.