Itstrainingtime

Nothing on the ground here at the other end of the county.

-SN has resumed, though the sun is out rather brightly and it's 33.2

Radar is blossoming to our south now. Bring it on.

If and when snow resumes here, I'll be starting over. My quarter inch is essentially gone. Current temp is 31.

Our Euro, which used to be the King, Shameful now is your name Your kingdom came, and now is gone As the GFS is now on your former throne Give us more snow today at 12:50pm Than you gave us this morning at 6:50am And lead us not to an out to sea solution But deliver us a plowable snowfall For that paweather will give you thanks, And the snow maps, and the praise once again Oh, please Euro.

I was going to say the same thing. I might get 2" of snow and have a 1" (maybe) on the ground tomorrow morning at this rate. 29 with filtered sun here.

And with that, the NAM ticks back east...

There will likely be a "lull" in the snow between ~ 9:30 a.m. and noon, but light snow will return during the afternoon & continue overnight. The storm track has shifted farther west..so I now expect 1-3" for LanCo., w/the potential for as much as 4-5" in far eastern parts of the county (such as Welsh Mountain). Snowfall totals will decrease as you go farther west, with ~ 1" the most likely outcome along the I-81 corridor in Franklin & Cumberland counties MU (Elliott) just a few minutes ago.

That actually looks pretty reasonable to me.

He and DT are actually pretty close now. Interesting.

He's actually backed off some with his first call from his first guess which followed his first... He moved the 4" line completely out of Lanco and moved it east of West Chester. Funny if he has to move it back.

Have a great snow chase!

I think accumulating snow from the coastal makes it to the pinkish line.

Dear god New England just got destroyed by the NAM. What a dream run for them.

"Pretty good" is an understatement. Comparing his maps (not just clarity, but accuracy) to DT is night and day better - I fully expect the 0" that he's predicting for me. DT has the 4" line halfway through Lanco? Don't see that happening.

Very encouraging - some thought that this weekend was our last great chance of the season. Certainly appears that we have more opportunities ahead. That'll lesson the sting of watching VA Beach triple our seasonal total this weekend.

First time I heard that was Christmas Eve, 2010. That's when every model known to mankind suddenly jumped several hundred miles west with the Boxing Day storm. People were going nuts and calling out the NWS, who I believe responded with the Convective Feedback issue. Unfortunately for us, those models that all came back west, came about 75 miles too far west, and that was what did us in locally.

2 things on the GFS: At least the 3rd run in a row that it nudged west. We need some bigger nudges soon. GFS also has that double barrel low feature out in the Atlantic. Read some discussion on convective feedback issues - not sure what it means if it will mean anything at all. Just noting what I saw.

If you take this map that Blizz posted, erode the western edge of precip by about 50 miles, and that would get snow most likely to the Philly metro area, which seems to be in line with what Mt. Holly is thinking right now. Wouldn't be surprised if PHL picks up about 2" while Cape May gets to 10".

9.1 here now.

There was a time that this would get me interested. I refuse to fall for this now.

The flow and lack of block were/are killers. Ironically, the ridge is positioned pretty close to where we want it - but your previous 2 points overcame that.

Trying to read and interpret this - what forecasters have been way off? The only one that I've posted discussion from has clearly said since last weekend that this was NOT going to be storm for us. The chances of getting snow from the coastal were always low...for reasons that many on here talked about. Also, given how many moving pieces there are flying around, models aren't going to lock into a set outcome days and days in advance. I won't speak for anyone but me, but at no point did I "expect" to get anything from the coastal storm. I haven't heard or read any met (worth their salt) predict a significant snowstorm in our area. Not saying it hasn't happened, but the ones I follow have been downplaying this from day #1 and haven't wavered one bit.

You're the LSV jackpot on the 18z GFS. LOL

Zoom it in a little to show how blessed we are east of the river: