Itstrainingtime

MU weighs in on later: Northern MD, southeastern PA and the LSV remain "trapped between the bands," and light snow will be the theme through the rest of the day. A brief burst of heavier snow is possible with the upper low between 5-9 PM, especially south of Route 30, before snow ends by midnight.

I'm not fully following this but I know for certain that any good met does not rely solely on models. I follow a good met from Millersville U. that will explain why the models are wrong in certain situations.

Models are nothing more than tools that comprise what a good met has at his/her disposal. There were good forecasters in your area that were calling for 1-3". Seems like not such a bad call right now. Models are prone to inaccuracy. The ones who were really wrong? How about the people that slammed CTP for not issuing a Winter Storm Warning for certain areas that only have about 2" on average with not a whole lot more to look forward to? It's not over yet (we'll see what happens later on) but it seems highly unlikely that York and Lanco are getting 5" from this. Seems to me that CTP had our area right. Again. And I'm sure for the next storm, they'll be taken to the woodshed prior to the storm even happening again.

My Uncle in Lewes, DE reported to me that he had 9" when he measured at 9:30am. He had 2" in the previous hour. They live less than a mile from Cape Henlopen State Park.

@dcfox1 - what do you have up on top of the hill?

Peter Mullinax Getting light snow in parts of northern MD as we are caught between 850mb FGEN in central MD & 700mb FGEN in central PA. That 700mb in particular sports a deep DGZ & increasingly saturated RH area. It's making for an area of subsidence along the Mason-Dixon & southern PA for now.

Matt (Zwyts) just measured 5.25" in DC with moderate to heavy snow falling. It appears that DC south and east will do well - the area up near Rt. 70 which was forecast to jack seems to be underperforming.

Watching like a hawk, and not to sound like that guy...everything of note is both north and south of me. Still nothing but very, very light snow.

Tons of 6-9" reports from the district and surrounding areas. And the returns moving into that area right now are drool-worthy.

This weekend has crazy upside potential but is admittedly a low-chance proposition. It will require a lot of moving pieces to sync perfectly to pull it off. That's never a formula to count on.

Oof. It's hard to call it light snow here right now. More like flurries. Edit: Very time sensitive but you can see the hole over me currently: https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=CCX-N0B-1-24-100-usa-rad

Oh my, I also move snow from place to place to keep full coverage as long as possible.

22.5 this morning with -SN falling. Just measured 1" on the nose. Beautiful scene. Probably won't be big totals but enjoying what's falling. If I had one wish, let's cover my grass blades today. I did not do my traditional snow mow as the last few years it seemed like it was a curse. Plus, I didn't want to further embarrass my weather friends by padding my total. My grass is about 2" in height.

Sterling has 14" lollipops south of Lancaster in northern Hartford and Cecil counties.

Yep. Said the same a few hours ago.

What was your call for your area? I'm going with 8.5" for you.

MillvilleWx call of 5-9" is looking pretty good for you...

Hershey ruins (haha) wallets and snowstorms.

I saw this on Facebook: *Attention Palmyra School District Parents* After consultation with the National Weather Service, the decision was made to delay classes by 2 hours on Monday morning. NWS has informed us that as the snow moves east out of Hershey it will diminish to snow showers as it reaches our borough. We will reassess the situation in the morning. In the meantime, we encourage residents who are pissed off to move to an area that gets more than just snow showers. Thank you for your understanding and support.

I was just here to say the same thing. That would take the sting away from tomorrow in a second. What a mauling.

Very reasonable, friend. I'm prepared for a couple of inches and hoping for a couple more.

That has been my point for years. I don't care if I have a warning or not. It only matters what actually happens. I wish I had $1 for every Winter Storm Warning I've had over the years that did not verify. I would be one rich man. For all who complain when CTP doesn't issue them, I hope they also realize that they've been burned far more times when warnings issued ended up failing than when a warning was warranted but not issued.

I agree. I think. I'm honestly not convinced either way. Very close call.

28/12 here currently.

18z NAM comes out and is almost a carbon copy of Elliott's snow map. The heavy snow axis is much narrower on the NAM which agrees with Elliott's assessment that it will only be 75-100 miles wide north to south.