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Everything posted by Itstrainingtime
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Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I don't like to make predictions for my sports teams, PSU football in particular. I will say this - I do think if PSU wins it will be by 3-6 points. If ND wins it will be by 10-14 points. I also think that if we can figure out how to start well for once our chance of winning goes way up. Get ahead, force their QB to throw/move around and our defense can feast. However, if ND sets the tempo early... -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
18 this morning in Maytown. All decked out in PSU gear in the office. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
He was just told to leave their forum. Shocking. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
That's what I said! -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
From Merriam Webster: "The National Weather Service will; at it's discretion, issue a Cold Weather Advisory to help dumba**'s understand that cold weather is coming." -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
#inMAGyoushalltrust -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
That would be negative. LOL (referring to snow) Also...referring to...ah, nevermind. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Waiting...it's the hardest part. Especially waiting for -12. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Add wind to it and I only experienced a 5 degree drop. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I'll add this about @Ruin - as much as his posting style tends to be off-putting to many of us, once you wade through the negativity...the overall message is often correct. My forecast low from CTP for this morning was 19, my actual low was 26! In fact, it's an above normal temp morning here in Maytown. The International Airport down the road (club boasts that it has parachute jumpers from all over the world, easily qualifying us as an International Airport) had a low of 25. It just simply isn't as cold as what was originally forecast, and that's what Ruin ruined us with. For the day, I averaged a -3 departure with my well below average high. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Looks like our neighboring subforums north and south of us have punted the weekend. Sorta surprising. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
MU take the weekend system further: As far as snow, the potential exists for another winter storm this Friday night into Saturday. Details are highly uncertain and impossible to finesse at this distance, but odds favor another "light-to-moderate event" across northern MD, southeastern PA and the Lower Susquehanna Valley. There are three pieces of energy involved in the setup that need to interact, or "phase," at the right place and time for a major storm to develop along the Eastern Seaboard. The likelihood of this occurring is very low, especially with the ridge axis over the Intermountain West oriented from southwest-to-northeast on Friday. Strong, northwesterly flow to the east of the ridge will tend to shunt the system out-to-sea on Saturday and rip the upper-level energy within the Jet Stream's southern branch apart. As a result, the system won't be able to intensify or "make the turn" up the East Coast due to the unfavorable wind flow pattern across the nation (see below). Typically, ridge axes oriented in a north-south fashion are present over the western U.S. during major, East Coast snowstorms. The flow around these ridges allows troughs/storm systems to deepen in the Gulf of Mexico and along the East Coast. Essentially, northerly flow out of Canada pushes Arctic air into the base of the trough, while southerly flow from the Gulf and western Atlantic causes the Jet Stream to bulge northward ahead of the surface low pressure system. As a result, the east-west temperature gradient strengthens, causing the trough to deepen and surface low to intensify. In this case, there will be less contrast in the wind direction ahead of vs. behind the trough (i.e. west-southwesterly vs. northwesterly), so the east-west temperature gradient won't change that much. Thus, I expect a relatively weak area of low pressure to move east-northeastward along the U.S. Gulf Coast from Thursday night into Friday before ultimately exiting the Carolina coastline Saturday morning. What does that mean for our region? Well, I currently anticipate a 6- to perhaps 12-hour period of generally light-to-moderate snow later Friday evening into Saturday morning. Once again, this will be an all-snow event from the I-95 corridor points north and west, and snow-to-liquid ratios should be on the order of 12-15:1 with temperatures in the 20s. Roadways will quickly turn snow-packed and slippery, but at least this system will come on a weekend and be less impactful to many people. Behind the storm, skies should partially clear Saturday afternoon, and northwesterly winds of 12-25 mph will likely accompany highs in the low 30s. A bubble of high pressure should then settle into the central Appalachians and southern mid-Atlantic States from Sunday into Monday, so there will likely be a one- or two-day reprieve from the gusty winds and frigid air. Instead, partial sunshine and light winds should accompany highs in the mid 30s both Sunday and Monday afternoons, allowing snow and slush to melt off roadways. Don't get used to it, though. As mentioned above, another reinforcing shot of frigid air is "waiting in the wings" and will arrive by the middle of next week. Warm-weather lovers like myself have nothing to be happy about or look forward to for awhile.. ☹️ -- Elliott -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I honestly (selfishly?) thought that I had the best screen name on this entire board. "Itstrainingtime" incorporates 3 of my biggest passions in life: 1) Helping others grow professionally, 2) My love for all things steam trains, and 3) training storms during the summer. If I say so myself, I thought it was super clever. But...but you have me beat. I fully concede. There is no one on this board with a more appropriate name than you have. Given 99% of your posts...well, your name says it all. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
12z Canadians say "we'll keep those parts pretty far SE of PA", thank you. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
MU Weather Center @MUweather With regard to the Fri night-Sat #snowstorm potential, it's way too early to finesse details or throw out #'s. Snow maps created before Wed PM or Thurs AM shouldn't be taken seriously & are subject to big changes! Many moving pieces need to interact perfectly for a major storm.. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
They're under a Winter Storm Watch and the best part of it is the official forecast: (this is quite clearly the rage of this winter!) Wednesday Night A 20 percent chance of snow showers after midnight. Increasing clouds, with a low around 28. North wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Thursday Snow showers likely, possibly mixed with sleet before noon, then snow showers. High near 35. East wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. Thursday Night Snow showers. Low around 29. North wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. Friday A 20 percent chance of snow showers before noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 38. North northwest wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
The battle of the winds war is on! NWS has slightly less winds tomorrow than today and even calmer on Thursday...MU, however, is channeling his inner Lee Corso (#notsofast) Edit: CTP does have Thursday being the windiest day. Apologies. MU Weather Center @MUweather NW wind gusts will reach 35 mph tomorrow & 40-45 mph Thurs. Highs will be around 10°F below average through the end of the week with overnight lows in the teens & low 20s. Wind chills will be stuck in the single digits & teens until Fri PM. Dress in layers, bundle up & #StayWarm! -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Low of 20 overnight in Maytown. Nice to both see and feel winter. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
2.1" here. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Still snowing at my cousin's in Georgetown DE with 12.5" so far. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Only picked up .1" this evening. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Just got home from an errand. She's getting slick. Big flakes spiraling down. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Flurries just started here. I think radar looks decent for all of us. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Looking ahead to the weekend - Elliott went with 30% POPs for Lanco on Friday night and Saturday. Probably a prudent call at this time and given the guidance. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
My favorite beach town looking amazing - love snow at the beach: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lq15dNFXISw