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Itstrainingtime

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Everything posted by Itstrainingtime

  1. NAM with a much colder thermal profile allowing snow to fall well south of any other model at this time.
  2. Snow/rain line rides I95/Delaware River from DC and points north.
  3. If you change your name to windycoastalhugger you might see different results in your area.
  4. Hard to believe that this thread is actually one of the most optimistic ones around right now. The overall mood in other regions is glum. And that's putting it nicely. We need a Miller A to swing up out of the Gulf and lay down a long stripe of white gold for the entire east coast.
  5. It kind of hit me this morning walking across campus while getting soaked - I'm at 1.25" of snow for the season on 1/19. The first 1" of that fell and then melted all while I was at work one day. Bottom line, I haven't seen anything beyond a heavy dusting for the season. The upcoming week or 2 holds some promise...but for us in Lanco especially, it's been really bad. If you remove the few bitter days around Christmas it's really been an extended fall that hasn't ended.
  6. 38 with light rain. Doubt it will get much above 40 today - raw outside for sure.
  7. It's not just the NWS either - I've yet to see or hear a forecast for Lanco that even mentions snow for the Sunday event. I see nothing but rain with temps in the low 40s during the day dropping to the mid 30s Sunday night. I would guess that today would be the day that changes in the forecast might happen?
  8. Welcome to Central PA Maestro! We're sure to have a symphony of storms that will be music to our ears.
  9. I don't know if I'm to give you the laughing or thanks emoji.
  10. Low made it as far north as the Ohio River - a little too far north for the southern tier. A shunt just a little farther south would have made almost all of us happy. (2nd storm)
  11. At 162 pretty much everyone outside of Lanco is getting hammered:
  12. Yeah - at 108 nearly all of PA is raining. Storm is centered just east of Annapolis.
  13. GFS doesn't look good at all to me at 102... Edit: Bubber is all over it.
  14. 18z ICON looks somewhat weaker as it exits the coast - 12z was a little more wound up and was throwing heavier precip back into the eastern half of PA. With very marginal temps - weaker storm - lighter precip - less white gold and more light rain. (generalization)
  15. Any word on the EPS - I thought I saw somewhere that it's not nearly as good as the OP for the first storm, but I cannot confirm that.
  16. The loop is from the last 3 runs of the model (0z, 6z, and 12z) for the same time stamp, which is 6z Monday morning. The loop shows that with each new run, the low is centered farther SE than the previous run.
  17. I'm not used to you being this down - when you're not feeling it, things often don't go our way.
  18. Yes - other 2 models shoot the primary up the spine too far north for us before the reform off Dewey Beach DE.
  19. CMC and GFS at 12z look almost identical - perhaps a bit more frozen early on in the SE on the CMC but the overall evolution is nearly lock step with the GFS.
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