Same - especially with this waiting in the wing: (good meteorology lesson here from MU)
(1/3) Forecasting 101: How to use the MJO to beat computer models. 4-5 days ago, the models were suggesting an abrupt shift to an unseasonably cold pattern in the East from April 8-18. Some even showed a major, late-season snowstorm in PA on April 9/10!
(2/3) At the same time, they were forecasting the MJO to become active in phases 6/7.. and still are. In an ENSO-neutral April, MJO phases 6/7 favor a #JETSTREAM ridge in the East, & the correlation is strong. Thus, I didn’t bite on the cold & snow, & it’s a good thing I didn’t..
(3/3) Fast forward to today, and the models have caught on to the MJO’s influence on the pattern and now show a sprawling ridge in the East next week. So, after a cooldown #EasterWeekend, expect this week’s unseasonable warmth to come roaring back by the middle of next week!