Itstrainingtime

GFS now gives us wintry precip on Wednesday and has lost the VD weekend storm threat.

@canderson - you mentioned yesterday how little CTP was talking about wind potential on Saturday. I see in my forecast this morning that they're mentioning gusts "only" to the low to mid 40s now. Did something happen that in reality will reduce the wind threat?

Middle of the uprights scenario right there. Overnight Canadians were friendly to us - certainly looked like it was going to be a flush hit. Euro as depicted was very concerning to me. It drove temps into the 40s clear up to Montreal while I basked in the mid 50s during a driving rain storm. That would spell significant concerns along the Susky for ice jam issues...

I met my son at the Nook this morning for some early hoop action. Driving across Prospect Road from 283 to Washington Boro my car fluctuated between 4 and 21. I was surprised to see how low I got last night.

7.3 for my low. 8.2 as I head to work.

Fair enough, though my station isn't running hot. There are many wunderground stations between Elizabethtown and here at work that are between 35 and 40 right now. I'm sitting at 33.7.

Respectfully, if it isn't a big deal to you, then why did you question the accuracy of my station?

Absolutely correct! I'm often as much as 5 or so degrees different than MDT.

My station is consistent with all of them around me. I believe it's just about 100% accurate. When I made my post, the Airpark down the road was 31. MDT has been consistently running lower than me for a couple of months now. Edit: Every station to my east is in the low to mid 30s. Every station between me and MDT is in the 28-31 range. Interesting. Still say my station is accurate.

Yep, my low was a solid 15 degrees above forecast. My forecast high for today was 28, currently it's 32 at 9:25am.

If you want snow as badly as what you've stated in this forum, why not look for positives to latch on to? It seems like you ONLY point out models that miss. I can't imagine that makes you feel good. Thing is, I'm both positive but also a realist. I will never hold on to "false hope" when I feel like it's not warranted. And sometimes I think I'm seen as a negative person when really, after years and years of going through disappointment and heartache when I latched on to something that ultimately failed, I've learned from that and am much more grounded today. But geez, there's enough out there to warrant some sort of hope that next weekend might produce some form of wintry weather. That's all we know right now. It's far from "likely" at this point and my outlook reflects that. But it's also not healthy to just pick and choose worst outcomes and piss on my cheerios every time you find it. Man, look for something positive for once.

The met from MU was touting -20 to -25 wind chills on Saturday.

-25 wind chills!

I feel like Elliott at MU downplays wind almost as much as he does wintry weather. Having said that, he's already emphasizing that Saturday will feature 60mph winds...

I think it's been a good 12 days or so since it's been above freezing officially? Looking at data it appears we were in the mid to upper 30s on the 22nd of January. That's one heck of an impressive run. We'll start another little streak in the coming days, too.

GFS with a cutter-type system next Friday and then a follow up coastal BOMB 2 days later that obliterates Delmarva into the Northeast. It just misses us east but man, what a storm it would be as depicted.

Correct. My station only receives sunlight during late afternoon hours during peak sun angle season. During the winter months it's shaded 24 hours a day.

My temp is 35.3 currently. There's a wunderground station near Rheems that is at 38, most in my area are between 33 and 36.

CTP lowered my high for today from 34 to 32. At 10:31am it's 33.

I really, really need to put my personal station online. I just haven't since I got my new one. This one is right down the road from me...maybe .2 miles? I'm literally in the radius of this station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KPAMARIE28?fbclid=IwZXh0bgNhZW0CMTAAAR1aUZn05v6EL1SCu83D6YWAz4KB0xPA7zBHapk7ZxcoZfWMxfMgsX9YEUY_aem_AatgGdtB3HDmy_lQiEQW3p1bDKQzlUbvSccn8VpHsQ_8zcjQ2DxBPNU21ROdUrVrozfMvldDScho9lY6LgyGK0dL It's already 31 in Maytown.

Yep, that's one degree lower than my forecast which makes total sense.

To be clear, I wasn't doubting you. I was surprised by the amount of difference in temp though. And I'm even more surprised by the discrepancy in your forecast high for today compared to mine. 8 degrees is a lot.

The sun did some damage on my south-facing yard yesterday, especially at the bottom of the pack. Almost like it was melting "bottom-up".

I actually got up to 34 yesterday. I think @mahantango#1 @canderson got warmer than I did. I'm already at 28.2 today. (CTP has me reaching 34) I got home from Florida last Wednesday. Got home and spent time widening the driveway and in process got a good bit of snow on my floormat. That was on Wednesday. Yesterday it finally melted after sitting there for 5 days. The past couple of weeks have been what I dream of going into every winter. I just love the landscape. Also, I'm really intrigued for next weekend. Way out there still but it seems like there's a lot to be interested in. Maybe the thing I'm liking most is the advertised amount of QPF...if only that can translate to white gold; well, a lot of us would probably stop and give the winter an A right then and there.

My lowest temp was 20.3 at 10:54pm. 24.4 currently.