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Itstrainingtime

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Everything posted by Itstrainingtime

  1. As this heavier batch of precip moves in, I've actually flipped back to a snow/sleet mix in Maytown. Just rain here at work now. Talking to some colleagues at work that live in southern Lanco and there was nothing at all. Just rain with a few ice pellets at the very beginning.
  2. Just saw that officially in Lancaster (MU) the official snowfall total was zero. Nothing measurable fell.
  3. Rain/sleet mix and 31.2. Finished with 0.5" of snow and sleet which is right about what I thought. The GFS got absolutely schooled by the NAM for down this way.
  4. Now up to 31.1 - hoping for some cooling at onset of precip.
  5. Temp is 29 after falling to 27 earlier. Clouds are moving in.
  6. I think @Blizzard of 93should still do pretty well...although the mix line often ends up even farther NW than short-term models indicate. The rest of us need a thump, which is still quite possible.
  7. It better thump from the onset. Otherwise, even these numbers might not materialize.
  8. Here it is, snowfans: my Storm Outlook Map for Tuesday's #winterstorm! I expect a tight gradient between very little & a half foot of snow across eastern PA & northern NJ. Areas N/W of I-81 should receive a plowable snowfall, but <1" is more likely south of Rt. 30 & east of I-83.
  9. I had a brief period of snow, then a lull, then a period of moderate sleet, a lull followed by mist/drizzle. The "rain" amounted to 0.01".
  10. Same thoughts I have. I'm not confident I'll reach 2" but .5"-2" seems reasonable. The last minute north trend on models has begun, at least on some modeling.
  11. I don't think I've ever seen a snowfall forecast of 0.5" - 4".
  12. MU was discussing this over the weekend and it seemed like he favored your area or just NE of you. He didn't seem thrilled for anyone SE of I-81.
  13. CTP hoists a Winter Storm Watch for the northeast portion of their area including @Voyager
  14. Moderate sleet falling here now and 35. What a wonderful wintry morning after a period of non-accumulating light snow earlier. Looking forward to work-related scheduling headaches Tuesday!
  15. CTP's forecast for me on Tuesday is rain mixed with snow and a high of 38. Not inspiring but not surprising.
  16. I agree completely with all of your comments/assessments you've posted. The only thing I would sorta challenge is that his thoughts for Tuesday were for the entire LSV and not Lanco-specific. Let's hope this doesn't trend north as he fears it will.
  17. He sure did. He's also been off on some of our recent rain events as well. His "strength" as a seasoned met is understanding that while pretty snow maps are fun to look at...in reality, they are flawed and often highly inaccurate.
  18. Well I was being somewhat serious. I think it's important to have his contributions but I always feel like the wet blanket. I guess if people are interested they can go read on their own.
  19. I think someone else should post MU'S thoughts for each winter event this season. That way I'm not always the bad guy. Suffice to say, he's not onboard for Tuesday for the LSV. He's expecting a significant move north with the storm track leading into the event, citing climo, the axis of the ridge out west plus an unfavorable NAO.
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