Itstrainingtime

I dunno - that cell in western Cumberland is intensifying as it moves east right towards Harrisburg.

Really hope we can get some rain overnight after the complete whiff on Thursday. Amazing how quickly things dry out this time of year.

SPC has now moved all of the LSV into the SLGT for overnight - up until now I was under MRGL.

Skies here went from totally clear to cloudy in a matter of 30 minutes. Cumulus deck is exploding.

Sunny and 73 after an early morning low of just 66.

Enjoy your time away. I'm sure it's well needed and deserved!

Well... If it was January, it would be like a 5-10" snowstorm forecast 12 hours out that ended up being a dusting to an inch or so.

Consider yourself fortunate - 0.03" at home and it looks like that's about it.

Watching that area, going to miss me to my east I fear.

Radar is very uninspiring...after feeling pretty good at getting at least a half inch (of rain, guys...chill) last evening, I'm now hoping against hope for a tenth of an inch. Of rain.

As for this coming Monday, perhaps the timing of the front will help mitigate the severe threat somewhat: Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0344 AM CDT Thu Aug 10 2023 Valid 131200Z - 181200Z ...DISCUSSION... Upper ridging is forecast to remain in place over the southern Plains and Southeast States through the weekend and into the middle of next week. A belt of enhanced, broadly cyclonic mid-level flow is expected north of this upper ridging from the northern Plains through the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast. A shortwave trough is forecast to drop southeastward into the northern/central Plains on D4/Sunday before continuing eastward across the Mid/Upper MS Valley and Upper Great Lakes on D5/Monday. Strong mid-level flow will accompany this system, spreading into the central Plains on D4/Sunday and across much of the OH Valley on D5/Monday. This strong mid-level flow is still expected to support severe thunderstorms as the shortwave trough and associated surface low and cold front interact with moist and unstable airmass across the Mid MO and Mid MS Valleys on D4/Sunday. Mid-level flow is forecast to strengthen on D5/Monday as the shortwave matures and develops a closed circulation. The severe thunderstorm risk will persist eastward into the OH Valley on D5/Monday amid this strengthen upper flow. Best overlap between this strong flow and airmass destabilization is current expected to occur from southern OH into KY and WV. Depending on the overall evolution of this shortwave, and its attendant surface low and cold front, some severe risk may continue into D6/Tuesday as the strong mid-level flow associated with the shortwave expands into the northern Mid-Atlantic and Northeast. However, current expectation is for the front to be offshore early D6/Tuesday morning. The belt of enhanced, broadly cyclonic flow across the northern tier of the CONUS will likely persist into D7/Wednesday and D8/Thursday. There is at least some potential for another shortwave trough to progress through the northern Plains and into the Mid/Upper MS Valley but inconsistency within the guidance leads to low forecast confidence. ..Mosier.. 08/10/2023

Looks like things are a little more pleasant up on the Mount.

MU Weather Center @MUweather Showers & some steadier rain will continue to overspread the Lower Susquehanna Valley through 10 AM. The morning & evening commutes aren’t looking too bad, though! Most of the rain should occur between 10 AM - 3 PM before tapering off. Many areas will receive around half an inch.

CTP's forecast for here from yesterday indicated rain would fall mainly after 11am, and that looks spot on now. That was my forecast and not what models were showing.

Surprised that the sun is out here at work.

Great that his mother, wife and baby girl saw it live.

Welcome to Philadelphia, Michael Lorenzen.

To be fair...ITT recorded 0.00" officially at home.

And now it's a full-on downpour. It's riding right down the river.

Despite zero mention of rain in today's forecast, it's actually raining pretty darn hard out there right now. Edit: It's raining quite hard here at work. No rain at home. Wife says "whaddya talkin' about?"

A few big raindrops here at work now. MU cranking the heavy rain threat for tomorrow...

Mini bonus appetizer before tomorrow. CTP has upped expected amounts it looks like...calling for a general .5" - 1". Hopefully we can keep an every few/several days of rain pace.

Been a long time since I went to Taco Bell...mainly because the next day was Taco hell...

We do annual heat illness prevention training here at work.

Looks like we go through another strong storm with trailing frontal passage scenario around the Monday timeframe, and that could bring yet another bout of severe weather...