I stopped looking at models, forecasts, anything related to what might happen weather wise. I had no idea it rained that close to me last evening - my wife and I were out in our backyard for hours working and then enjoying some beverages. I'm not one to complain about forecasts...I think it's a bad look to do so. Having said that, twice in the past week I was "forecast" to get soaking rains. Twice I got less than scraps. I'm losing credibility because people depend on me to let them know what's going to happen and I've looked really stupid multiple times.
I am going to be highly skeptical of rain forecasts for some time. I'll believe it when it's in the bucket.