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Everything posted by Itstrainingtime
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Central PA Autumn 2023
Itstrainingtime replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Yes, and they compliment each other very well. Nice to see both getting equal or near equal touches. This team needs to run it well to have any chance of winning. I would load the box and force Pickett to beat them. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Itstrainingtime replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Stillers are the worst 6-3 team in the history of professional sports. The Packers had 5 plays of 35+ yards on Sunday - 4 of them came on 3rd and long. The 5th was in the final minute with Jordan Love throwing essentially a hail mary to avoid a sack...except for the fact that the hail mary was to go a guy who had no one within the city limits covering him. How this team keeps winning is beyond me. Well, they don't turn the ball over. That's one thing. And they can run it some now. Other than that...yeesh. This past weekend was the best weather day that we've ever had. Low 50s and full sun in November. It was a glorious fall football Sunday in Pittsburgh. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Itstrainingtime replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Like others, I had a huge temp spike between 3am and 4am - my temp went from 29.7 up to 44.6 in less than 30 minutes. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Itstrainingtime replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
29 in the Steel City this morning. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Itstrainingtime replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Dallas 89 Giants 10. 2 game total. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Itstrainingtime replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Finally! Nice to see the Steelers win in person. It's been a hot minute. Going to enjoy tonight here and head home tomorrow. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Itstrainingtime replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
47 and Overcast here on the North Shore. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Itstrainingtime replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Nice rain falling here at work and 48 degrees. Parking lot lights are on - very dark, chilly and damp morning. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Itstrainingtime replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
It "seems" like December will be mild - January is also trending that way, especially early. Seems reasonable to forecast an overall AN temp type of winter. If the first 2 months hold, February would have to get really cold to offset that. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Itstrainingtime replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Pretty much right in line with the majority - increased risk of nor'easters with wintry weather more likely later on in the winter. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Itstrainingtime replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I have a Teams call scheduled for 9am. His video outlook comes in right now at 18 minutes...this is putting him to shame! -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Itstrainingtime replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Followed by pet and home care. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Itstrainingtime replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Just to add...only got to 63 down here in Conestoga. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Itstrainingtime replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Ding ding! I also reached 68 in Maytown. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Itstrainingtime replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
It is 65 here currently and rising quickly. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Itstrainingtime replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Reminds me of an old Elliott Abrams saying: "No sun" "No warmth" "No...vember" -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Itstrainingtime replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Had a nice rain shower here at work this morning, now partly sunny. No rain at home today. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Itstrainingtime replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
The word "cancel" will become a household name. 3-6" with some mix in Dubois, little or no accumulation in Marysville with a cold rain. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Itstrainingtime replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Wait...JB is actually going cold? Who'd of thunk that... -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Itstrainingtime replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
IF some of these winter outlooks materialize...there's going to be a lot of tension, frustration, despair, etc., in these threads while snow weenies wait not-so-patiently for the goods to be delivered... -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Itstrainingtime replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
MU released a video to compliment his previously-issued winter outlook. He broke things down even further: For Lanco specifically: December: 1-3" of total snowfall. Temps 3-5 degrees AN. He feels confident that December is a torch January: 7-11" of snowfall. Temps 1-3 degrees AN. This month will regress into a wintertime pattern as the month progresses. February: 12-20" of snowfall. Temps 1-3 degrees BN. He had 7 analog years, which included big storm winters of 1982-83, 2009-10 as well as 2015-16. He did say that another 3 of his 7 analog winters ended up being duds, with 10" or less total seasonal snowfall. It is a risk. There may be only a couple/few pure snow events in Lanco, but the risk is high to pile it up in those events. His late season storm track would suggest that the further east you are, the better come February. (areas west of Lanco figure to do much better earlier in the winter while we enjoy some nice rainfall.) -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Itstrainingtime replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Here is Doug's map - excuse the wrong year, it was a mistake and this forecast is for this winter: -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Itstrainingtime replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
By the way - there is a met who works in DC that seems to be respected a lot by our neighbors to our south. His name is Doug Kammerer, and he made a lot of headlines last year when he issued his seasonal forecast for DC that was for 1-6" of total snowfall. People were mocking him for his "ridiculous" forecast...well, he nailed it. Someone posted his 2023-24 snow map earlier this week - he has our area in his 38-52" range. MA peeps said that when he was delivering his winter outlook, he was very excited...and apparently that's not the norm for him. He's all in on a snowy winter for all of us. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Itstrainingtime replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Interesting read, thanks for sharing. This is the first "official" winter forecast that I've seen that is going BN for temps. A lot of thought out there that December will torch, January will start warm and cool later (still ending up AN) followed by a BN February. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Itstrainingtime replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
If your calendar includes 2024, I don't see how anything could you stop you from removing the November 2023, December 2023, January and February 2024 pages right now. In a matter of seconds your calendar can read March 2024. That alone might make you feel better.