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Everything posted by Itstrainingtime
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I hesitate to speak for someone that I don't even know. I'll assume that he means that in aggregate, the remainder of the month will be well AN. Your point is certainly thought provoking, and I guess opens things up for personal perception. I would not classify a low of 30 or even in the 20s in December as "cold" but again, that's me. The normal low at MU for the remainder of the month ranges between 22 and 26 degrees, so a temp of 30 is fairly significantly AN. If it was 30 on the morning of 10/14, I'd say it's cold. To me, the time of year matters greatly in my own perception. 75 in February is incredibly warm, 75 in July is delightful. Interesting how all of us are unique in our own perceptions.
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I'm just the messenger of one professional opinion...and it's a rather strong one at that. (posted last evening from MU) Essentially, cold air is and will remain bottled up at high latitudes for at least the next 2-3 weeks. Greenland/North Atlantic blocking is currently absent and not expected to develop through the end of December, and a Pacific Jet Extension (PJE) should flood much of North America with mild air for the foreseeable future. PJEs typically force a southward dip in the Jet Stream over Alaska and the eastern Pacific and a subsequent northward bulge over eastern North America. The resulting, westerly flow across the contiguous United States keeps Arctic air confined to high latitudes. As such, December is essentially a "lost cause" for snow-lovers south of I-80 and east of I-99. "Wishcasts" calling for a White Christmas or a shift toward colder/snowier weather around the holiday are simply not based in reality and should be ignored. The tide may turn in early- to mid-January, but it'll be a "no-show" until then. As the old adage goes, "Patience is a virture." -- Elliott
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I've reached my forecast high of 43 here currently.
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I guess we could potentially get half of that depending on the final evolution of this.
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WPC starting to zero in on the big east coast rainstorm for next week that @MAG5035 alluded to:
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Correct - frontal passage timing is unique in that now that the flow has switched around to the NW, temps will only slowly rise today before bottoming out tonight.
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A surprisingly mild 33 this morning - much warmer than @Mount Joy Snowman for today.
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I think (?) it was WGAL and MU that both called for 1-3" of total snowfall for the month of December, specific for Lanco. That appears on track it seems. At least one of those outlets was that specific.
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27.3 for the low this morning. You know, a lot of the winter outlooks had a common theme this year - a warm December with little snow followed by a pattern change in January that delivered a grand 2nd half of winter goodness. I speculated at that time (early November) that this place might become unhinged by December if the seasonal forecasts looked on track. Un-hinging has commenced, I see. I see no reason why it won't be a good season overall. Unless you just want to say that it won't because it hasn't. I mean, the Cubs didn't win a World Series for like 650 years until they did. Just because we've had a succession of crappy winters doesn't mean things won't change. Doesn't mean it will, but there's objective reasoning that says it will.
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Crazy bumpy flight into BWI. Apparently no power at home due to the high winds.
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1.71" of rain in Maytown.
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Coating of snow at home, less than last week. Should be home by dinnertime.
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1.13" of rain so far at home. Heading home later tomorrow, total rainfall here in Orlando since I arrived 9 days ago is a T.
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Orlando. Beautiful past 9 days. Not missing the drama one bit either...
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It's hotter here than Tomlin's azz.
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80/67 at noon. Front comes through here tonight into tomorrow.
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I always like to lowball - based on my cameras and grass height when I left I'm going with .4". In all likelihood it was a bit higher.
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9 out of 11 December trips to be exact.
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Sunny and 63. Son reports snowy landscape in Maytown this morning when checking in on things. #itoldyouitwouldsnowwhileiwasgone. Happens every time. Almost literally.
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Sunny and 58.
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Nope.
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Orlando.
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85/71 currently.
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Central PA Autumn 2023
Itstrainingtime replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I'm taking a break from here and will be back in a few weeks after I respond to this: Ironically, some of the posters in this thread actually support/embrace the idea of Climate Change. And those that do have shared that in this thread...but they share it among other things that they like to post about. YOU...ONLY...post about one thing. Like literally one thing. This morning was a perfect example - many in here saw their first snowflakes of the season. In the midst of that, you randomly post numbers to support your agenda. And agenda that was completely contradictory to what everyone in here was talking about. For Christ's sake, why can't you let people enjoy something they haven't seen in months? Have you ever heard the concept of "reading the room?" When you do what you did this morning, and actually make statements along the lines of "Geez, I guess no one down in Harrisburg realizes how shitty it's been for snow recently" - that is going to elicit a response. As it should. THAT...was trolling. You knew damn well that snow is something that we all covet, we all celebrate, we all worry about, get stressed over, etc., and yet you still felt it was necessary to say that. Look, not everyone supports your agenda, whatever. But people aren't stupid, either. You throw the bait out constantly and then cry foul when the sharks bite your line and strip it. It's just not a good look at all. I might be a lot of things but I sure as hell ain't a fucking snowflake. I rarely talk like this but I've had my fill. Most people get along with each other in this thread...there's a reason why you've drawn wrath. It might be worthwhile to take a step back and think about that. Now, I'm getting ready for Florida. It's going to be 86 at humid as hell in Orlando this weekend. So be it. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Itstrainingtime replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I would have agreed with you until recently - he's making posts today that are 100% factually wrong about what people in this thread have said and/or are saying. That's trolling. He's looking to get a rise and he's gotten what he wanted.