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Itstrainingtime

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Everything posted by Itstrainingtime

  1. In Lancaster, June was 1.45 BN followed by July and August which both were at a +1 - +3 AN. Pretty much right in line with Checo's maps above. For 2023, the alarming departures were over the winter, with January running at nearly a +10 followed by a +9 for February. All of that data, whether it was very close to normal (this summer) or WAY above normal (this past winter) still came back to one general theme - the devil in the details has been our nighttime lows. It just does not cool off at night like it once did.
  2. (channels wintertime speak) I read in the MA thread that the Euro Ensembles are way west of the OP.
  3. MU on the weekend: By Friday night and Saturday, my attention will turn toward the southeastern U.S. coastline for possible tropical development. An old, washed-out, and quasi-stationary frontal boundary over the Florida Peninsula could serve as the breeding ground for this potential tropical cyclone. Disturbances that move east-or-northeastward along these stalled fronts often tap into the deep, tropical moisture available in the Bahamas and/or Gulf of Mexico and become more organized. Sometimes, they eventually obtain tropical characteristics and are then named by the National Hurricane Center. In this case, the disturbance of interest is currently quite disorganized and located over the south-central Gulf of Mexico. By Thursday, it will exit off the east coast of the Florida Peninsula and then move slowly north-or-northeastward off the southeastern U.S. and Carolina coastlines through Friday night or Saturday. If the disturbance becomes a tropical storm on Friday or over the weekend, it would likely acquire the name "Ophelia." Numerical computer models are notoriously bad at handling the timing, track, and intensity of such disturbances, so it's no surprise that a broad range of outcomes are currently on the table. Some models simulate rapid intensification and a landfall near the North Carolina/South Carolina border sometime between late Saturday morning and Saturday night, while others suggest a weaker system and track along or just off the Carolina coastline. In the first case, the weakening, remnant low pressure system would likely reach northern MD and southern PA by Sunday or Monday, but rainy and windy conditions could arrive as early as late Saturday morning or early afternoon. The rest of the weekend would also turn out cool, damp, and dreary with showers or periods of rain persisting through Sunday and perhaps even into Monday. In the worst-case scenario, winds could gust as high as 40 mph later Saturday through Saturday night with up to 3-5" of rain falling through early next week. However, the second case mentioned above would result in an entirely different outcome in this weekend's weather. Instead of a washout, Saturday could just turn out cloudy and a bit cooler with intermittent showers or a brief period of steadier, light rain before drier, brighter and warmer conditions return on Sunday. At this point, either solution.. or anything in between.. are equally as likely. The strength and speed of a cold frontal boundary diving southward out of eastern Canada will be a key factor in determining the track of the potential tropical system. A weaker, slower front would give the system more leeway to track farther north and west, while a stronger, faster front would suppress the system and kick it out-to-sea more quickly. Check back in late this week for an update! -- Elliott
  4. There is more room to spread out on the Enola trail and it is very flat (old railroad bed) but the one up north is our "go to" (though I'm only 2 miles away) and is loved by most users. Just be aware that some bicyclists don't seem to understand that it's a multi-use trail and will ride at Tour de France speeds amongst strollers, pedestrians, etc. It is a gorgeous place to walk!
  5. Oh, I'm serious. And it was a blatant omission from my post. Now, I will say that she offered her Oriole Fandom to me. Perhaps in part because my office is a shrine to the team and I wear a lot of Orange and Black O's polos to work. I had to ask about football. Also...it's still very much baseball season in Balmer!
  6. Some team from the Metroplex in Texas? Well I thought that but her 6 year old son is named Camden.
  7. It is better than anything we had last winter. I have a new team member here at work who started a few weeks ago. She comes into my office this morning and randomly proclaimed her love for the Baltimore Orioles and also for snowstorms. That...is how to recruit.
  8. There are 2 trails along the Susquehanna in Lancaster County - the Northwest Lancaster County River Trail is 14 miles in length, 6' wide, and paved. It is closer to you and runs from Falmouth (near TMI) down to Columbia. It is heavily used and will have a lot of traffic IF the weather is nice. Nice vantage points include the White Cliffs of Conoy and the Shock's Mill Railroad Bridge. http://nwrt.info/ This trail is MUCH more shaded than the trail below Further south, the Enola Low Grade trail runs from Conestoga (bottom of Turkey Hill) all the way into Chester County in Atglen. It's 29 miles in length and is gravel. This trail is flatter than the NWLCRT and crosses the Safe Harbor trestle. Only the first 5-10 miles is along the river, after that it begins to curve away. Both of those trails are recreational trails for bikes and pedestrians, these are not "hikes"...
  9. Kudos to ABC for not showing the injury as graphically as it can be seen all over social media. I went online looking for something else last night and got sick in the stomach when I saw the injury zoomed in. No wonder the entire stadium gasped. Chubb is/was such an underrated back. I feel horrible for him. And honestly the city of Cleveland.
  10. Steel with a fluke defensive play followed by the Brownies completely dominating the line of scrimmage on the subsequent drive. Also - Micah Parsons is playing on a higher level than the rest of the league. What a force!
  11. Yeah...right up the road from me. My wife was home and said our house shook enough that it sent her outside. Just a horrible tragedy.
  12. All in good fun! Northwestern is the proverbial trap game...small stadium that's hardly ever full, and the game between 2 imposing opponents on our schedule. Mighty UMASS is coming to town!
  13. People like Mount Joy Snowman get paved parking. My type park outside the Agriculture building right after it was cleaned and disposed outside. There is a limited amount of paved parking but the majority is in open fields/meadows.
  14. Depressing... First, I learn that CBS has the Whiteout game and therefore, no Kirk Herbstreit, the former Suckeye QB that is now our #1 fan. And now the weather. Going to be a fun day and night. @sauss06- interesting call here...go early, claim good parking and get drenched, or show up later, stay drier, and get stuck in a field of sh*t? Hmmm....
  15. It'll be interesting to see what happens this week with my yard. I have areas that seem dead for the season while other areas are quite vibrant. I've done pretty well with rain recently and I wonder how much those bad areas respond to that.
  16. Consider this the final year that you do not count mows. You're on the clock in 2024. And @Bubbler86loves to exaggerate...I'm only at 28 YTD. LOL!
  17. Curious to hear what @Mount Joy Snowman got - my son lives in Mount Joy and only got .64"
  18. I've been fretting especially with parking more so than the actual game. Still a lot of uncertainty this far out.
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