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Everything posted by Itstrainingtime
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Central PA Autumn 2023
Itstrainingtime replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Even for Lanco, MU only going with a 40% POP for Saturday. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Itstrainingtime replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
That's what I was saying earlier in the summer - my AC is running regardless, so I'm only noticing any real difference during the daytime. And this summer's daytime highs weren't bad at all. Now, when the normal low in January is 24 and it only gets down to 32...I notice. -
Orioles with win #50 on the road last night. That might be the most impressive stat of all this year, and heading into the postseason it's reassuring that this team knows how to win away from Camden Yards.
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Central PA Autumn 2023
Itstrainingtime replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
In Lancaster, June was 1.45 BN followed by July and August which both were at a +1 - +3 AN. Pretty much right in line with Checo's maps above. For 2023, the alarming departures were over the winter, with January running at nearly a +10 followed by a +9 for February. All of that data, whether it was very close to normal (this summer) or WAY above normal (this past winter) still came back to one general theme - the devil in the details has been our nighttime lows. It just does not cool off at night like it once did. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Itstrainingtime replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I hope the weather is glorious in OCMD. Skee-Ball is fun though! -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Itstrainingtime replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
(channels wintertime speak) I read in the MA thread that the Euro Ensembles are way west of the OP. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Itstrainingtime replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I didn't say I was asking for this to happen. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Itstrainingtime replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Latest WPC map backs significant rains a bit farther west: -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Itstrainingtime replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
MU on the weekend: By Friday night and Saturday, my attention will turn toward the southeastern U.S. coastline for possible tropical development. An old, washed-out, and quasi-stationary frontal boundary over the Florida Peninsula could serve as the breeding ground for this potential tropical cyclone. Disturbances that move east-or-northeastward along these stalled fronts often tap into the deep, tropical moisture available in the Bahamas and/or Gulf of Mexico and become more organized. Sometimes, they eventually obtain tropical characteristics and are then named by the National Hurricane Center. In this case, the disturbance of interest is currently quite disorganized and located over the south-central Gulf of Mexico. By Thursday, it will exit off the east coast of the Florida Peninsula and then move slowly north-or-northeastward off the southeastern U.S. and Carolina coastlines through Friday night or Saturday. If the disturbance becomes a tropical storm on Friday or over the weekend, it would likely acquire the name "Ophelia." Numerical computer models are notoriously bad at handling the timing, track, and intensity of such disturbances, so it's no surprise that a broad range of outcomes are currently on the table. Some models simulate rapid intensification and a landfall near the North Carolina/South Carolina border sometime between late Saturday morning and Saturday night, while others suggest a weaker system and track along or just off the Carolina coastline. In the first case, the weakening, remnant low pressure system would likely reach northern MD and southern PA by Sunday or Monday, but rainy and windy conditions could arrive as early as late Saturday morning or early afternoon. The rest of the weekend would also turn out cool, damp, and dreary with showers or periods of rain persisting through Sunday and perhaps even into Monday. In the worst-case scenario, winds could gust as high as 40 mph later Saturday through Saturday night with up to 3-5" of rain falling through early next week. However, the second case mentioned above would result in an entirely different outcome in this weekend's weather. Instead of a washout, Saturday could just turn out cloudy and a bit cooler with intermittent showers or a brief period of steadier, light rain before drier, brighter and warmer conditions return on Sunday. At this point, either solution.. or anything in between.. are equally as likely. The strength and speed of a cold frontal boundary diving southward out of eastern Canada will be a key factor in determining the track of the potential tropical system. A weaker, slower front would give the system more leeway to track farther north and west, while a stronger, faster front would suppress the system and kick it out-to-sea more quickly. Check back in late this week for an update! -- Elliott -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Itstrainingtime replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
There is more room to spread out on the Enola trail and it is very flat (old railroad bed) but the one up north is our "go to" (though I'm only 2 miles away) and is loved by most users. Just be aware that some bicyclists don't seem to understand that it's a multi-use trail and will ride at Tour de France speeds amongst strollers, pedestrians, etc. It is a gorgeous place to walk! -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Itstrainingtime replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Oh, I'm serious. And it was a blatant omission from my post. Now, I will say that she offered her Oriole Fandom to me. Perhaps in part because my office is a shrine to the team and I wear a lot of Orange and Black O's polos to work. I had to ask about football. Also...it's still very much baseball season in Balmer! -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Itstrainingtime replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Some team from the Metroplex in Texas? Well I thought that but her 6 year old son is named Camden. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Itstrainingtime replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
It is better than anything we had last winter. I have a new team member here at work who started a few weeks ago. She comes into my office this morning and randomly proclaimed her love for the Baltimore Orioles and also for snowstorms. That...is how to recruit. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Itstrainingtime replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
There are 2 trails along the Susquehanna in Lancaster County - the Northwest Lancaster County River Trail is 14 miles in length, 6' wide, and paved. It is closer to you and runs from Falmouth (near TMI) down to Columbia. It is heavily used and will have a lot of traffic IF the weather is nice. Nice vantage points include the White Cliffs of Conoy and the Shock's Mill Railroad Bridge. http://nwrt.info/ This trail is MUCH more shaded than the trail below Further south, the Enola Low Grade trail runs from Conestoga (bottom of Turkey Hill) all the way into Chester County in Atglen. It's 29 miles in length and is gravel. This trail is flatter than the NWLCRT and crosses the Safe Harbor trestle. Only the first 5-10 miles is along the river, after that it begins to curve away. Both of those trails are recreational trails for bikes and pedestrians, these are not "hikes"... -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Itstrainingtime replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
WPC still favoring higher coastal impacts: -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Itstrainingtime replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Kudos to ABC for not showing the injury as graphically as it can be seen all over social media. I went online looking for something else last night and got sick in the stomach when I saw the injury zoomed in. No wonder the entire stadium gasped. Chubb is/was such an underrated back. I feel horrible for him. And honestly the city of Cleveland. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Itstrainingtime replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Embarrassment. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Itstrainingtime replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Right now he's lost and his confidence is likely gone as well. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Itstrainingtime replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Steel with a fluke defensive play followed by the Brownies completely dominating the line of scrimmage on the subsequent drive. Also - Micah Parsons is playing on a higher level than the rest of the league. What a force! -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Itstrainingtime replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Yeah...right up the road from me. My wife was home and said our house shook enough that it sent her outside. Just a horrible tragedy. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Itstrainingtime replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
All in good fun! Northwestern is the proverbial trap game...small stadium that's hardly ever full, and the game between 2 imposing opponents on our schedule. Mighty UMASS is coming to town! -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Itstrainingtime replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
People like Mount Joy Snowman get paved parking. My type park outside the Agriculture building right after it was cleaned and disposed outside. There is a limited amount of paved parking but the majority is in open fields/meadows. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Itstrainingtime replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Depressing... First, I learn that CBS has the Whiteout game and therefore, no Kirk Herbstreit, the former Suckeye QB that is now our #1 fan. And now the weather. Going to be a fun day and night. @sauss06- interesting call here...go early, claim good parking and get drenched, or show up later, stay drier, and get stuck in a field of sh*t? Hmmm.... -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Itstrainingtime replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Coastal Highway will flood. The rest is to be determined! -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Itstrainingtime replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
It'll be interesting to see what happens this week with my yard. I have areas that seem dead for the season while other areas are quite vibrant. I've done pretty well with rain recently and I wonder how much those bad areas respond to that.