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Itstrainingtime

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Everything posted by Itstrainingtime

  1. Wind-driven rain. Where did this wind come from?
  2. I assumed I would see sleet when it let up, but it's plain light rain here.
  3. Moderate to heavy snow just morphed into a light rain/mist here in less than a minute's time. 1.9" total snow so far.
  4. Elliott is giddy about the 1/17 to 1/22 time-frame. He's talking about it today instead of what's falling now. Sounds like he thinks next weekend is too soon and that storm cuts.
  5. Roads have finally caved here. 33 with moderate snow. Still under 1".
  6. I measured 5" between 4pm and 5pm during that storm with a LOT of lightning and thunder.
  7. Approaching moderate intensity- temp above freezing now at 33.
  8. After 2 hours: Snowfall past hour: .3" Total snowfall: .5" Slightly less on the ground. -SN, 32 degrees.
  9. Yeah, nothing much happening. I'm losing more than gaining.
  10. It's been one hour since the onset: .2" fell in the first hour Roads here are 90% wet Temp is 32.
  11. Light snow has commenced. No sleet. Temp down a notch to 31.
  12. Some of the MD posters are sharing that the sleet changed to snow once the rates picked up. Encouraging.
  13. Precip has stopped here, at least temporarily. Temp continues to climb, now at 32.
  14. That's much earlier than predicted. I wonder if you can cool enough aloft with heavier rates to flip to snow?
  15. Parkton MD, just south of the border is all sleet. I think they were expecting at least some snow.
  16. I've had on and off flurries for the past 15 minutes here.
  17. Understood. I was only responding to a post of yours that seemed to conflict others. I apologize.
  18. All fair points. I'm sorry. This issue is mine to own.
  19. Very true. So...why post dozens of NAM snow maps over the past few days if you know it's so inaccurate?
  20. Honestly...truly...and what I have honesty thought for days now, that looks like a map that I would create for this event. I do think that Cashtown and maybe Bubbler up to Carlisle does a little better than that, but I would not be surprised if that map is close for a lot of us. Including the greater Harrisburg area. Ready to eat crow as needed.
  21. 58" on 2 separate runs for the 1/22/2016 storm. First run was centered just east of Lancaster and the next run it was up near Allentown. We were having fun with that in our thread. That same storm, one of the NAM runs painted almost 5" of QPF over Carlisle. (They did end up with nearly 40" of snow)
  22. I think the 6" line should maybe be a little NW of where he has it, but on the whole this is actually pretty good I think?
  23. Mark Ellinwood just posted his final call in the MA thread - he moved his contours NW but admitted that he thought about moving them farther NW. (he's pessimistic about his amounts)
  24. Keep your chin up - plenty of snow maps show a lot more than that for you.
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