Itstrainingtime

MU: A 6 to 8 hour snow event Tuesday yields a light to at most moderate event. 6" is the most he could see, likely less than that.

Oh, I agree with what you're saying, my only (and I feel valid) point is that fun or not, the model did slash snowfall totals. This was never going to be a 15-20" event, and that is what the GFS was trying to sell us. Always be wary of salesmen. And HR. Probably more so HR.

That's because very little of what I say makes any sense.

BIg thing I noticed with this GFS run is that it cut snowfall totals in the jack zone way back, now much more in line with other model outputs. Gone are the 15-20" amount nonsense.

I made and actively use my banter thread out of the respect for and wishes from some of our posters, you included. I was happy to do so. I also agree with you and others that anything beyond 2 threads for our little sub is overkill. I like having a weather thread and a non-weather thread. We can figure out anything weather-related in our weather thread.

The area from about Chambersburg west to the Ohio line was raking Saturday afternoon while my first foot of snow that had already fallen was getting topped off with 4-6" of pure wind-driven sleet. I flipped back to snow that evening and ended up with a storm total of 22" which was 18" of snow and I went low with 4" of sleet. I had 20" OTG Sunday morning. As you mentioned the winds...winds are something often talked about during big storms here but that storm brought it. I was watching the Flyers game that afternoon and they had to postpone it after the 1st period because the wind was blowing windows out in the old Spectrum. Hard to fathom we'll ever see something of that magnitude again...but you never know...

You read accurate information regarding 1993. It was uncanny - this was the timeframe of when the Weather Channel was actually a weather channel and a respected one at that. The entire week (storm was on a Saturday) they talked in absolutes that a 100 year storm was going to impact the entire eastern seaboard. For weather/snow weenies that was the best week in my lifetime. It was "must see" TV the entire week. I'll never forget it. There's a lot of good content on You Tube today for that storm.

I agree with you. I think we're going to do fairly well with this one.

My personal take on potential snowfall/storms/snowfall maps/all things February related: The original thought for the period of time from 2/3 through about 2/20 was that there would be a lot of different systems, each with differing likelihoods of wintry precip dependent on where the boundary set up during the time that each system impacted us. Many of those systems were pegged to be "mixed events" with some even being plain rain. As early as last week, the energy expected to arrive around the 2/11 - 2/13 timeframe held the best opportunity for an all snow event. And due to the lack of blocking, that system's ceiling was probably an SECS to perhaps a low-end MECS. The pattern really didn't (and still doesn't) support a crippling storm next week. It's not until after about 2/20 that the pattern MIGHT become more conducive to a larger system IF the expected blocking actually sets up. I feel like what we're seeing is pretty much right in line with what's been expected. Root for mid next week to deliver a solid snowfall here and then turn our attention towards perhaps something special, but not until the final days of the month.

#itstrainingtime

I literally just edited my post to clarify. Since you mentioned the grass, I still have solid sleet coverage in all mulch, garden and flower areas.

I just got home - it's 36 here and there's still a lot of ice on my road, driveway and sidewalk. Heading out now to address the situation. Edit: I'll add that the ice is nothing like it was earlier this morning when I left. Definitely melting going on.

Very gloomy and 36.3 currently which is the highest for the day.

If you lived in Lancaster county...you wouldn't be surprised at all. We do pingers better than the rest.

Euro with a bit of a skipamaroo over the LSV. Heavier snows south and northeast of us.

Office and plant schedule adjustments as well...

Me too. I do think it will snow next week, I feel about as comfortable with that as I could be 5 days out. I feel far less confident in us getting a moderate to heavy snowfall. It's just too early in the game and there's plenty of ways for this to regress. Years and years of colossal fails have jaded both of us. It's not a sure thing until it's piling up.

To clarify...my "like" to your post was the overall theme about the wintry conditions and not specific to you nearly falling. I hope you understood that.

Still only 32.5 at home. Very, very slow climb so far.

I just shared this with my wife and she's not really feelin... Oh, right, you're referring to the weather.

FOLKS...

All of this nonsense the past 2 days about pants. What about those of us who only wear shorts?

Legit heavy rain here at work as this last band blows through. Sounds like a summer storm on the roof.

What do we need for Saturday's event to potentially trend better? I've been so focused on this morning and next Tuesday and have not looked at the weekend at all.

Yes indeed, just made it past the official threshold - 32.2 in Maytown.