Itstrainingtime

Why? Just a negative hunch?

As much as I like/respect him...I'm personally offended by this.

Currently it's 82 at home. Also - this: Looking ahead into the upcoming weekend, our stretch of warm and tranquil weather is going to come to a screeching halt. A vigorous cold front will cross the Commonwealth on Saturday and bring several bands of showers to the region. Depending on the timing of the frontal passage, a few rumbles of thunder and wind gusts up to 40 mph could accompany the heaviest showers. Given the time of year, it would take an afternoon or early-evening frontal passage for these threats to materialize.. and that's certainly possible on Saturday! In the wake of the front, gusty, west-to-northwesterly winds will usher much cooler and drier air into the mid-Atlantic States for the second half of the weekend and start of next week. High temperatures may struggle to reach the low 60s both Sunday and Monday afternoons, and wind gusts up to 30 mph will give an added chill to the outdoor air. Overnight lows should be much closer to average early next week, or generally in the mid-to-upper 40s. Fortunately, I don't expect any rain to accompany the chillier conditions, but you'll still need to trade in this week's shorts and T-shirts for long pants and jackets. With a trough, or dip in the Jet Stream, and upper-level expected to linger over the Northeast and southeastern Canada through much of next week, don't expect a return of this week's unseasonable warmth through the end of next week. Temperatures should moderate slightly during the middle-to-latter part of next week, but highs probably won't exceed the 70-degree mark. Welcome to fall! -- Elliott

That was exactly what I questioned/theorized yesterday - will October follow the same pattern as it's predecessor? We'll know in 4 weeks.

I agree with you 100% on this as well...with the caveat that you're also going to share any and all record lows that might be set going forward.

Damn, that does sound like him...

NO!!! Do you not want a snowy winter?

And unfortunately, that same map 24 hours later has turned drier:

...I don't have a good comeback for this...

Our oldest son is home from Houston again, so we had all the kids over last night for dinner. I heard our one daughter say to my wife in the kitchen "mom, why is it still so cold in here?" I smiled broadly in the living room.

Hold on here a sec - who turned it off to begin with?

@Mount Joy Snowman - you were a little shaky in completing the assigned mission, but ultimately you got the job done. Welcome back!

I actually think that I "was taught" at some point many, many years ago that it was the first warm stretch of weather that followed the first frost of the season. I was surprised by how many interpretations there are of the "phenomena". LOL

It depends on which definition you personally like - I was going to use the term in a post yesterday but stopped myself for the same reason you alluded to; however, Weather historian William R. Deedler wrote that "Indian summer" can be defined as "any spell of warm, quiet, hazy weather that may occur in October or November,"

@TimB -CXY is notoriously the warmest location in the LSV and ironically, it also sits immediately adjacent to the Susquehanna, but it's on the west side of the river and with the prevailing wind direction, it would not be influenced by the water.

One of the biggest factors is water - the airport literally sits adjacent to the Susquehanna. I'm located about 1.5 miles from the river, and my drive to work is almost entirely along the river. I'll watch my car thermometer start to rise in the fall and winter as I approach the river and it's somewhat warmer influence. Conversely, in the spring it's often cooler along the river on warmer days. Having said that, the river doesn't explain all of it. There has to be something else.

Tim, this is a great point and admittedly I've been of the opinion that the lows don't matter as much to me since I'm typically not doing much outdoors overnight. Having said that- overnight lows absolutely matter way more than my own personal comfort level. I don't want you to think that I don't understand that.

Lancaster would probably be the closest to Paul - September finished 2.43 AN...however, 15 days featured BN highs, 14 days were AN, and one day was right on the normal high. That early stretch made all the difference. (and it might repeat itself here in October) Granted, I only used high temps in my above analysis.

Your year to date rainfall total is about 5" higher than NYC saw in September alone.

Same at home. 1 degree higher than yesterday.

It feels like one to me. Very scientific, I know. LOL

September data is in from Lancaster (MU): MU Weather Center Due in large part to the early-month #heatwave, aggregate temps in #September2023 were nearly 2.5F above avg at @millersvilleu . Despite rainfall of 6.15” on the month, we’re still facing a yearly deficit of nearly 7”! This is a big reason why the Drought Watch is still in effect.

That's just as unbelievable every time you share that - you're averaging one mow every 2 weeks since the beginning of April. I went several weeks with only a couple of mows, but I've also had many weeks of mowing twice.

Unless we get whiffed with rainfall later this week, I agree 100%. I'll be mowing on Wednesday this week for sure.

Right? I mowed on both Thursday and again yesterday. My grass is very green, very healthy, and growing very fast. (that will slow this week but I'm certainly not finished yet) I'm at 30 mows currently.