Itstrainingtime

No, that was another one. New Year's eve. Forecast was for 12" to 24" and it never got cloudy. Philly had like 8" and it went way up east of there. Very similar storms though!

Many times. One of the biggest fails in the 2000s was 12/26/2010. That was the storm that NYC got like 30" and we had flurries.

Holy crap!

The December 2009 storm was modeled 24 hours out with 1" near Dillsburg to 20" near Avondale. Biggest cutoff I've ever seen modeled 24 hours out.

Welcome to our perpetual world.

Could be a true forum divider - might be hours tomorrow night when north and west friends are ripping snow while those of us SE are hydroplaning on flooded roadways...

Well I'll be damned, NAM...

What storm are you referring to here?

@Blizzard of 93 I didn't mean to stir. I only made an observation based on previous comments. I even said it could trend better.

Getting closer and closer to where MU said it would end up days ago. Still not likely done shifting either good or bad though.

You're not that guy. I've said the same for years.

Enjoy! If you ever have a chance...dollar for dollar, breakfast is the bomb there. Amazing food for what you pay. Highly recommend.

58 here. That's a great recap of your general area.

Just 51 here in Lanco.

We haven't had many good patterns for snow down our way.

I honestly wasn't giving this event any attention whatsoever until Thursday evening. I'm intrigued but not invested. I agree with you but it’s close enough to maintain my curiosity.

If we don't have rates, I don't believe it will snow.

Not to say that I don't want snow...I really do. But it doesn't define me or bring mood swings any more. I'll get excited and enjoy it if and when snow flies. I still love the thrill of anticipation leading up to a big one.

Today was spectacular. I'm a cold guy but could get used to more of this. Trail had spring weekend type traffic on it. I'll be happy with whatever going forward.

61 was my high today, but more impressively it's still 50 at 8:25pm.

MA long range thread is getting spicy...we need snow soon, and bad...

Sorry, I wasn't able to post the images he was referring to above.

A big MU update: Regarding the Monday night-Tuesday system, there is still an immense amount of uncertainty regarding its track and intensity. Much depends on the interaction between the two disturbances highlighted below. The closer together they are, the stronger the system.. (2/4) The upper-level pattern across North America will also be a major player. A ridge axis over the Intermountain West (GFS model - 1st image) would allow the system to "dig" farther south & deepen, while a subtle trough (ECMWF model - 2nd image) would promote a weaker system.. (3/4) Regardless of the ultimate outcome, surface temps will be above freezing and very marginal for snow across northern MD, southeastern PA, and the Lower Susquehanna Valley. In order for rain to change over to snow and accumulate, precipitation will need to fall heavily.. 4/4) The storm is still about 4 days away, so I won't be able to finesse the details until Monday. For now, I still favor an outcome with no accumulating snow south of the PA Turnpike. Don't pay attention to forecast snowfall maps until Sunday. They're bound to fail.

53 in Maytown at 12:40pm.

Time to get back into some James Spann again...