Itstrainingtime

Just finished cleaning up. Sidewalk, driveway and roads have caved with this light, fine snow falling. Temp is 27. As Mitch noted, seeing snow blowing off my roof now as well.

This is the 2rd time today I've made a post about 2 seconds after someone posted essentially the same thing. Happened earlier with @Superstorm comment about the visibility dropping. How much do you currently have OTG? See my post above for my current snowpack.

Just a few random flurries here right now. Wanted to get an idea of OTG amount here - average of 3 separate measurements taken in unsheltered, wind-protected areas of my yard is 4.4"

Yes sir, and I guess I should have added to my original post the assumption that if we were getting legit heavy snow, the overcast would be much denser/lower and limit the radiational affects of the sun.

Flat piece of wood about 10' from my patio and adjacent to my weather station. When home I follow the "book" on measuring as best as I can.

Observation time - we talk about this every winter. Sun angle. People have strong opinions on this. Here's mine...it really comes down to rates. If it's legit +SN and 33 degrees in early March, it WILL accumulate on ALL surfaces. It might struggle midday, but heavy snow (like verifiable 1/4 mile vis or less) will overcome sun angle and to a large degree...temps. I cleared off my sidewalk at 11am. It is snowing "nicely" right now...verified steady light snow. It's currently 28 degrees and it's January 19th. All of my paved surfaces are 100% wet. Snow is melting on contact despite being several degrees below freezing and still in January. It really is about rates. Now, if it was December 22nd and 22 degrees...this same rate of snow would likely be sticking to all surfaces.

Visibility has dropped off some, sun has disappeared and it's more than just flurries now. Hoping to add on a little more yet...

MU official report of 2.9" as of 11am.

Noticeable difference in our obs this morning - only 1.7" has fallen here total. Definitely not an overperformer in Maytown to this point - we'll see what happens but right now, not much falling.

Pardon one quick OT comment -speaking of games, what in the world is going on with the Flyers? I've been quietly waiting for months for the collapse...they just keep winning. This was supposed to be year #1 of a start over, build from scratch (in other words...a tank job) but someone forgot to tell the team this. They are playing lights out and beating bad teams, decent teams, and elite teams. I'm almost as excited about them as I am about the weather. Back to snow talk!

My forecast has been 3-5" since the afternoon updated package - I noticed the change around 4pm.

After looking at his start time map earlier today, I hope last call comes really late.

I think his last day is tomorrow?

Once again, MillvilleWx just told people in the MA thread to completely ignore the HRRR. He said it is completely lost. @Bubbler86 - totally agree with you on the temps today and the HRRR.

He trimmed back the coastal influence area to our east. Biggest thing that's changed since yesterday's first call.

An impressive climb considering the cloud cover. 35-36 seems within reach at this point.

Temp is above freezing for the first time in several days - 33 in Maytown.

Good point. I still think we'd lose a fair amount of what we have though. There was melting yesterday under full sun and much colder temps with the frozen tundra.

MU had this to say within the past hour: An area of high pressure centered off the Carolina coastline will promote lighter winds and slightly milder conditions today. However, high temperatures will still be around 5-10 degrees below normal and generally in the low-to-mid 30s. Skies will be mostly cloudy well in advance of an approaching disturbance. The disturbance will track from the mid-Mississippi Valley to the Delmarva Peninsula spanning Thursday night to Friday evening. To its north, plenty of cold air will be available for precipitation to fall entirely in the form of snow. Light snow should overspread northern MD, southeastern PA, and the Lower Susquehanna Valley from southwest-to-northeast between 3-7 a.m. Friday and continue into the late-afternoon or early-evening hours before ending. The steadiest snow should occur late Friday morning into the mid-afternoon hours. Roads will quickly turn snow-packed and slippery, so exercise extreme caution in the hazardous driving conditions. A general 2-4" of snow is expected across the region. Behind the winter storm, another Arctic air mass will plunge into the mid-Atlantic and northeastern United States from Friday night through the end of the weekend. Northwesterly winds of 12-25 mph are anticipated Friday night before increasing to 15-30 mph on Saturday with gusts up to 35-40 mph. Due to the strong winds, there will be areas of blowing and drifting snow on Friday night and Saturday. Drive within the speed limit, obey travel restrictions, and allow extra space between yours and other vehicles. Low temperatures will bottom out in the teens Friday night with highs only in the low-to-mid 20s Saturday afternoon. As a result, wind chills may fall into the negative single digits late Friday night and Saturday morning and only reach the high single digits Saturday afternoon.

They raised tomorrow's expected high temps several degrees - my forecast is the same as yours - last evening my forecast was for a high of 28 tomorrow.

Exactly - without the clouds, the snow would be waving bye bye.

Can we take a sec and appreciate the cloud cover today? With temps rising into the 30s, if we had full sun, we'd be staring at snow on piles tomorrow instead of snow on snow. These clouds are saving our pack, big time. If I could draw it up...it would stay cloudy to about 4-4:30, clear off for 4-5 hours, then cloud over later this evening. Give me a few hours of radiational cooling first.

Welcome back Jon. I'm sorry for the public bickering I took part in with the trolls. I didn't mean to add fuel to the fire.

Really, there are subtle (somewhat subtle) differences in QPF distribution across the area, the NAM really went wild east of here. That fell in line with MU's map, which is unlike most of the forecast maps I've seen.

Meh - if the tundra at Thomasville is at 19, I'm honestly surprised that MDT isn't higher.