Itstrainingtime

Well stated...

Nice thing is that if we do break record high temperatures at official terminals, we won't have to wait long to be informed.

That's a big difference in a relatively short area - I'll have to see what my son's place got down to. He lives very close to Hostetter's.

It was...I only got down to 23.4 here, I think the map you posted yesterday for this morning showed lows about 10 degrees colder. However, the model has consistently undercut both forecasters and other guidance all winter and has often been the closest come verification time. Today was just a bad day. LOL

Ralph will punt in despair with the next bad model suite. (there's definitely some history with that, LOL)

He definitely seems to be on an island with the early spring idea...and he's not backing down, either. Going to be interesting to see how all of this plays out.

Sizzling off the press from Elliott: Looking ahead into next week and the second half of February, there continue to be signs of a large-scale pattern change. However, the magnitude and duration of that pattern change remain rather uncertain. The Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO).. or an eastward-moving wave of convection between the Indian and western Pacific Oceans.. is currently in phase 7 but should finally progress into phase 8 around Valentine's Day. In stark contrast to phase 7, MJO activity in phase 8 favors colder and stormier weather in the mid-Atlantic States. There is often a 1-week lag effect with MJO forcing across eastern North America, so the brunt of the colder air may not arrive until February 17th-20th. Additionally, the Stratospheric Polar Vortex (SPV), or band of westerly winds enclosing a large pool of extremely cold air that develops 10-30 miles above the ground over the Arctic Circle every winter, may weaken during the second half of the month and get "dislodged" off the North Pole. A strong SPV is often associated with weaker storm systems and a zonal, or less wavy, Jet Stream pattern, but an unstable SPV can sometimes precede cold air outbreaks and signal a stormier weather pattern across central and/or eastern North America 1-2 weeks later. However, this is not always the case, and the cold air can just as easily dump into Europe or Siberia. Despite the uncertainties, there should be at least one or two more opportunities for a significant (3"+) snowstorm between February 15th and March 5th. I'm also keeping an eye on a potential storm system next Monday into Tuesday, but the air mass to its north will probably not yet be cold enough for snow in the I-81 or I-95 corridors. There won't be a source of cold air over northern New England and southeastern Canada, and the system could easily just slide across the southeastern United States and out to sea. Needless to say, I'm not impressed by this "thread-the-needle" opportunity for snow. At this point, the most likely scenario is for Monday to turn out partly-to-mostly cloudy and still quite mild with highs in the 40s to perhaps 50°F. There's still time for things to change, but I advise winter-weather fans to keep their expectations low. Check back on Thursday or Friday for an update! Oh, and as I mentioned on Friday, a warmer weather pattern should return during the second week of March due to the progression of several different large-scale features. Spring officially begins on March 19th, but it may arrive 10-14 days early this year. The clock is ticking for snow-lovers.. -- Elliott

Who is the bigger weenie - Bastardi or Margusity?

22 this morning in Maytown. Frosty start to yet another beautiful, sunny day!

I've called for that move for years. Sixers aren't going to win with or without him. Might as well make a big move and go in a different direction.

Was that you on Action Weather 4?

Still think our best shot comes after that but what do I know.

Going to be another day exceeding the forecast high - already up to 45 at 1pm in Maytown.

The panic room in the MA forum is almost as busy now as the LR thread. Have no fear, people are starting to bail en masse. I for one, remain optimistic. Mostly.

25 this morning in Maytown. It's going to be another beautiful day.

Good night for radiational cooling - already down to 34 from my high of 52.

Breaking: Embiid to have surgery and miss extended time.

Can't post MU's latest discussion, but he does expect one last opportunity for a snowstorm between 2/20 and 3/5, followed by an abrupt flip to spring. He said spring will arrive a couple of weeks early this year. These were his thoughts posted last night. If someone can post his discussion, thanks!

Beautiful day. Nice to see the sun this weekend after weeks of cloudiness. Temp just hit 50.

One thing that is becoming more and more evident with each passing day - big discrepancy in how it feels in the sun vs. shade. I was just out in the sun and it's genuinely warm. Very chilly in the shade.

I had my first sub-freezing night in nearly 2 weeks this morning. Several more incoming this week. Flip side...normal high for today in Lanco is 39. It's currently 48, which I would consider a well AN departure.

I've wanted to do this for some time. Good for you to experience it!

11th consecutive morning above freezing- low was 34.

To be clear - I'm talking about the 1970s and not the 60s. I was only 5 when that decade ended.

No - I just pulled what I found off of MU's climatology page. I really didn't look any more into it.