Itstrainingtime

Ukie says "if you're in the LSV and you don't live in Delta or Peach Bottom, you ain't gettin' nuttin this weekend."

A windy, pleasant to be outside in short sleeves 37 here.

5+ years ago, you could pretty much take a Euro/Ukie combo to the bank. If they were onboard, it was time for Blizz to fire up the blower. Today, there isn't that "go to"; rather, we have various models of differing levels of accuracy. The Euro's upgrade was a downgrade on accuracy. At least so it seems.

I think recently someone...maybe it was @mitchnick shared verification scores for models. I honestly don't remember the details, but what's also interesting to me is how each of us has our own personal lens on how we perceive models perform. For example, regarding the GFS...I tend to agree with you, at least somewhat. Yet, our neighbors to the south are vilifying the GFS and have crowned it the worst model out there right now. I know PSUhoffman is speaking loudly and often at just how awful the GFS is. All of this is interesting.

31 here as well. Dear wife asked me about the weekend weather this morning - told her to hopefully expect a few inches. She looked confused.

ICON would get me over 20" for the season. If this is it for the season...a bit of a let down from earlier expectations, but as of now I'd be satisfied.

ICON looks pretty good:

Your time to shine is coming. (you usually are only active once we're inside a discreet threat) I'm working on a couple of good comments.

Watch that southern tier, Blizz...

Just you wait...the good part is still coming...

Perfect! My wife would not be either.

A Season In The Life Of A Central PA Winter Part 1: This is an adaptation from the previous versions of "A Day In the Life Of..." - for this edition, let's take a sneak peek to see what happens during a typical winter season. Also, some content will include some posters who aren't currently active for whatever reason, but they need to be included to get the full picture. There are active posters not in this part that will be included in Part 2. Due to the scope including an entire season, this installment will include through the end of a calendar year. Part 2 (coming soon) will start in January and run through the remainder of the season) Finally, I dedicate this to @Blizzard of 93 who has made a few special requests and I'd like to honor him with this in recognition of his willing today's storm over most of our neighborhoods. August 28th: @paweatherspots the 540 line edging south from the Arctic Circle. Meanwhile, the current HI in Maytown is 104 and I swear I'm hallucinating while reading his post September 14th: @Bubbler86 shares that the .03" of rain that fell in Rouzerville was his first measurable rainfall since May 2nd. I'm guessing he really lives in Death Valley September 19th: A strong cold front is set to move through later that night. @canderson bungee straps his trash can to his car. He then moves the can inside as he's fearful his car will also blow away September 20th: MDT's top wind gust was 22 mph September 28th: @Blizzard of 93 posts the GFS showing snow over Yellowstone. He announces that PA snow can't be far behind. I wonder how big that behind is October 9th: @Mount Joy Snowman provides a daily update on the nation's high and low temps. The infamous Peter Sinks sunk to 19 October 17th: @paweather is excited about Halloween snow. This is the scariest thing for the season, I mutter October 28th: PSU loses to Ohio State. Again. Afterwards, Franklin announces that despite falling to OSU 35-6 at Beaver Stadium, his Nittany Lions are one of the top teams in the country. By "country" I assume he means a picturesque farm field outside of Port Matilda November 2nd: I share MU's Winter Forecast. It includes a prediction for 25 to 50% normal snowfall for the season. Inside, @Blizzard of 93is in need of medical attention November 3rd: @Atomixwxchallenges @canderson to...eh, I'll keep this clean November 5th: @anothermanlaments the misfortunes of the Eagles loss to the Commanders. Who then exactly is..."the other man...or men?" November 8th: @sauss06 asks @candersonif he lost power during the overnight windstorm. He forgot that @candersonwas on his weekly trip to Broadway in Manhattan November 14th: The 0z GFS shows a stripe of pink and purples over Central PA at 384 hours. @Blizzard of 93is the one who shared it...not that anyone is surprised November 14th: The 6z GFS shows temps in the 70s at hour 378. @Blizzard of 93announces that there's still time for this to trend better. I'm reading and saying out loud "Blizz, I got something for you to trend on" November 16th: @Bubbler86 gets down to 26 in R-Ville. I only get down to 35 in Maytown November 22nd: The entire run of all OP models show zero wintry precip for the duration of their runs. @Blizzard of 93 says "We'll be tracking soon" - I say "Track this" and hope that my HR team doesn't hear me November 27th: The Thanksgiving high temp at MDT was 69. This is warmer than Memorial Day's reading of 67. December 3rd: @Yardstickgozinyaposts an adorable picture outside of his house. I examine his name and only now does the lightbulb go off to what his name actually says/implies. I burst out laughing December 5th: The first snow of the season falls for most in our thread outside of Lanco. @Superstormreports 5" in New England. Superstorm is in New England...a lot December 7th: @pasnownuttalks about parsing the tellies. I look up to find out exactly what a "tellie" is. December 13th: @Blizzard of 93shares a GFS clown map at hour 240 showing pinks and purples over Central PA. There's no colors over the southern tier. Undaunted, Blizz proclaims that this looks great for all of Central PA. December 13th: I say "huh?" while reading Blizz's post December 15th: @MAG5035gives a detailed look at the rest of December and shares that there's no chance of a white Christmas outside of the snow belt areas. December 15th: About 3 minutes after @MAG5035post, @Blizzard of 93shares a map valid December 23rd showing the tiniest sliver of grey over Syracuse. He suggests that this could trend well for us just in time for Christmas. I choke on my egg nog. December 17th: @Porscheshares a gorgeous sunrise over Shady Maple. Last time I ate there, I was in a lousy ass Ford Escort. December 22nd: As a follow up to his post from December 15th, @MAG5035provides an update that includes a verification of his thoughts from a week earlier and then proceeds to share that he still sees no wintry threats on the horizon December 22nd: About 3 minutes after @MAG5035post, @Blizzard of 93produces a snow map showing a little grey over northern PA on December 30th. He asks @MAG5035 what his thoughts are on the "threat"... @MAG5035conveniently never responds December 25th: About 16 members wish everyone else a Merry Christmas. I have this vision of Mary in Christmas Vacation saying "hey, that's my name" December 30th: @Blizzard of 93December 30th "threat" ends up being a brief rain shower with temps in the mid 50s December 31st: @Mount Joy Snowman @candersonboth announce that they're feeling no pain. December 31st: I'm feeling pain. My pain is that just before New Year's @Blizzard of 93posts yet another 384 hour snow map. He announces that he's gassing up his snow blower and ready to start tracking! To Be Continued...

I was surprised to hear that we flipped before you - that's another oddity in a storm that was full of 'em. I measured .57" of rain before the flip.

The rain around midnight last night was deafening...it sounded like a July nighttime thunderstorm.

At home - all snow on my south-facing lawn and under/around trees is gone. Still a couple/few inches elsewhere. Like @canderson - my neighbor down the road did not touch his driveway, nor was there any activity on it. His driveway was almost completely dry an hour ago. @Mount Joy Snowman- I'm at work now as I have a few in-person meetings this evening. 441 from Columbia to Washington Boro...hardly any snow left to be seen. The park in Washington Boro is probably close to 75% free of snow.

Seems very reasonable.

Partly sunny, quite brisk and 37 at noon.

Agree 100%. Sure is stunning out there now.

If this snow makes it until Saturday...I'll be surprised. I'd love to see it though.

@Mount Joy Snowman - MU's final tally was 4".

@Blizzard of 93: I think that everyone in this thread loves snow to varying degrees...some love to track, some love to watch it fall, some love to play in the aftermath, and some love a combination of those things... I doubt that any of us would argue that no one loves snow more than you do. And you sir, and your unfailing attitude of positivity and refusing to give up, were just rewarded handsomely for your passion and dedication. Truly, you earned this storm. I think I'm happier for you than I am for myself. Well done! Now...will you please bring home another one? (or two...or three...or...)

NE of Dover is a good distance from Hanover...isn't it? His report vs yours seems completely reasonable to me. I'm almost due east of Dover and had a hair under 6". Second edit: I'm actually a good bit NE of Dover. I'm almost due east of Roundtop.

Edit: It sounds like the very best banding extended from northern Adams east through northern York, Lanco, and points N of that line.