Itstrainingtime

Problem is...there aren't many Eric Horsts to be found. We were so fortunate to have him, and you can attest to that first hand.

MU giddy over "torchmas" today.

I arrived at our daughter's house today in a polo and shorts. Very comfortable. Much warmer than forecast. I think?

By the way...it's 53 degrees...

100% correct- the vast majority of precip will last about 6 hours in any given location. Freezing drizzle will follow. Merry Christmas everyone!

Well said. Merry Christmas to all, and to all, a snowy winter!

FWIW - MU is also on team sleet. Coating to 2" for most.

One interesting thing I noticed in my forecast from CTP - hardly any mention of sleet. It's snow, then snow/freezing rain, followed by freezing rain possibly mixed with snow and sleet at times.

@MUweather I know these are operational models in the long range, but yikes! Any run-to-run consistency is, well, non-existent. Ensembles haven't been much better. We're at a crossroads in the numerical modeling world. Just pathetic!

Oh, very serious. I think the most recent word used to describe models is "Pathetic."

CTP is already playing up the wind threat for next Monday. Not often I see them talking about that 5 days out.

He is still in full-on meltdown mode over models. He's posting completely out of character. And probably because it's changing so drastically in the direction he doesn't want it to go.

Yes! That was exactly how I felt as well, and I'm never ready for a warm up. But after days and days of driving on ice holes (gotta be careful that didn't autocorrect) I was ready for a reset and dry roads again.

Nooner GFS is...wintry for Friday. Warning level snowfall in eastern PA.

1994 there were ruts in the streets for what seemed like a couple of weeks. There was an obscene amount of ice that winter.

I honestly don't know. I was up late last night picking up our son in Philly and slept in this morning. When I woke up (8:30ish) it was a light rain/sleet mix with just a coating on grassy surfaces. If we did get that burst of snow that you mentioned it would have had to been exceptionally brief.

Rain mixed with a few pingers here at home. Slant-sticked my way to .1" of snowy slushy stuff earlier. Season total is 5.6".

Not bad - CTP dropped my projected high for Friday from 58 to 37 in about 12 hour's time. Depending on the strength of the high, it might go even lower.

@Mount Joy Snowman fun fact: as of this morning, here are two seasonal snowfall totals that I find interesting: Itstrainingtime's house: 5.5" Mammoth Lakes, CA: 4" It has been an historically awful start to the ski/winter season in CA. There are bare spots on Mammoth right now...that's just ludicrous in late December. Good news for them, things are changing in a big way this week. Snow arrives in town tomorrow and by the weekend there should be at least 3-4' in town with at least double that on the mountain.

I'd like to know as well. I'll admit I've paid zero attention to tonight...just so busy right now getting ready for Santa. What I have heard is it's going to be the essence of a nuisance...anything that we do get will be gone in literally a couple of hours. Of course, it takes just a small amount of wintry precip at the wrong time...

I hope (and believe) you're right. CTP is seeing something different because they have me in the 50s on Christmas day.

I just had a house-shaking gust. Looks like a mid 50s gust down the road.

Oh my. That's High Wind Warning stuff. Edit: Confirmed gust of 64mph at 1:05pm and then a 68mph gust at 1:09pm.

My station is too protected to get anything close to accurate wind speeds. At the airport right down the road, a gust of 53mph was just recorded: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KPAMARIE28?fbclid=IwZXh0bgNhZW0CMTAAAR1aUZn05v6EL1SCu83D6YWAz4KB0xPA7zBHapk7ZxcoZfWMxfMgsX9YEUY_aem_AatgGdtB3HDmy_lQiEQW3p1bDKQzlUbvSccn8VpHsQ_8zcjQ2DxBPNU21ROdUrVrozfMvldDScho9lY6LgyGK0dL

Holy cow, you're not kidding...heavy wind-driven rain here now. This is the official start of the "event."