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MattPetrulli

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Everything posted by MattPetrulli

  1. MattPetrulli
    Very strong area of shear+land interference
  2. MattPetrulli
    A number of 06z GEFS ensembles develop this wave in the Bahamas and recurve it.
  3. MattPetrulli
  4. MattPetrulli
    Dangerous and Explosive™
  5. MattPetrulli
    Reminds me of Tropical Storm Julia back in 2016 a little bit. Also looking at it from Miami radar, it already looks more organized than Barry.
  6. MattPetrulli
    Maybe it does develop into a TD or maybe even a low grade TS, but this isn't the "dangerous" and "explosive" development you were advertising.
  7. MattPetrulli
    Come on man, this isn't nearly a dangerous situation or a system within an environment for explosive development. This shouldn't be a thread.
  8. MattPetrulli
    I can certainly see it happening. Only 2 high risks have ever been issued on 01z outlook (April 30,2010 and May 22,2004) Also some higher population cities potentially in the path of the main complex include Wasau(39k) and Stevens Point (26K) in the next few hours
  9. MattPetrulli
    Looks like most tropical activity is done for the month unless we get quick development close to home. Wave train should be in business towards August, however.
  10. MattPetrulli
    Most if not all of the upwelling occurred in the central and NW GOM. The eastern GOM is still at or above normal. Air temps are running in the mid-to-upper 90s through the end of the month regardless. You are correct in that it won't take very long for the western half of the GOM to rebound for August. Even right now it's still warm enough for tropical systems
  11. MattPetrulli
    Gulf should rebound rather quickly too, if it hasn't already. Gotta watch.
  12. MattPetrulli
    00z Euro shifting west and bringing into Beaumont, TX area with a lot of rain and as a strong TS.
  13. MattPetrulli
    I'm not getting radar data fine or warning data fine. Would appreciate if someone posted multiple polling links.
  14. MattPetrulli
    Pretty intense and unexpected flooding for me in Pigeon Forge. Didn't expect much of anything today but ended up with 2.53" since 5 AM. Houses across the street got flooded by a creek that I have never seen get so high. Numerous areas around the county flooded, never had a FFW issued for some reason however. Creek is still flooding a majority of the property across the street and has only gone down a tad. Hopefully thunderstorms tonight won't be too bad.
  15. MattPetrulli
    Already have
  16. MattPetrulli
    Looks like a plains severe threat Monday. Still a lot of details to be ironed out. Dynamically looks like a great system.
  17. MattPetrulli
    Honestly seems like a classic case for one hell of chaser convergence. Best analog is May 10, 2010.
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