The Iceman

Its funny how often we talk of needing to thread the needle without a -nao but you still need do the same thing even with it in place. I personally won't feel warm and fuzzy or hyped about this pattern until something interesting shows up on guidance within 7 days. Right now, looks mostly like cold rains or sheared out messes to the south.

Hope you're correct. The lack of cold air continent wide has me concerned though. Combine that with ocean temps in the atl still above normal and things look pretty bleak snow wise for 95 through at least mid month imo.

Woke up to a dusting outside. Anyone else? Nice surprise.

January looks pretty bleak as long as those series of lows continue to rip into AK. We even get good storm tracks but the entire continent is flooded with pac air. I see talks in other sub forums of SSWE have begun. Winter must really be on the brink...

Just lost power in Hopewell. Merry effin Christmas....

Don't rule out 1-3" Sunday evening se pa and NJ. 3km nam picking up on the low level cold.

Still snowing lightly out there here in Hopewell. Anyone else? Pretty picturesque with the 6 inches or so on the ground.

Yep, I'm thinking that's about it here. I'll be shocked if we see anything on the backside. Fun little event even if a little disappointing. Think we have around 5 inches out there.

Over to IP now in Hopewell.

2.5" in Hopewell snowing heavily.

Man I just drove from Hopewell to Hamilton nj to pick up my girlfriend from work. Just arrived and it is ripping! Easy inch an hour rates. Roads completely caved including 295/195. Going to be a fun ride home! Overall that giant heavy band looks to mean business and mix line is still down in delaware/s nj. Could be a fun 2-4 next hours.

? SE DC is still snowing and I'm almost positive that wasn't supposed to still be the case

I know it's nowcast time and models aren't as useful this close but the nam straight up just sucks for 95 later. Only a hour or two of snow then over to sleet..even a little n and w of 95 goes over to sleet fairly quickly. Hopefully the HRRR is more on point with the WAA snows and the nam is overdone on the warmth.

25F/17DP and overcast. Radar blossoming to the south now.

WAA is going to be the key for 95. HRRR has a nice thump of 6-8" of snow before any changeover. Feeling comfortable at 8-12" up here. Think 95 may end up closer to 4-8" though if the WAA is a fierce as progged.

Made it down to 21F last night. Dew point is 12F currently.

Nice! Good luck to you too! Looking forward to my first storm in the Sourlands! Hopefully the CAD holds up and we stay heavy snow as long as possible. I think we are in pretty good shape for 8-12".

Much better WAA thump before the changeover to sleet even down to 95. Great improvement!

Mt Holly update. Big time cut in places.

Yeah it mixes pretty far but there's still a good deal of snow. Ukmet is way worse imo

I'm too young to purchase a snow blower or at least that's what I keep telling myself... Bought a new shovel over the weekend though. Could of been the kiss of death

Valentine's Day 07(it's either 07 or 08 I can't remember) is a storm I'll never forget. 3-6" of cement sleet followed by 2 weeks of cold that made it a solid glacier. That year sucked for snow, we had another big sleet storm that March, but it was the most solid "snowpack" I ever remember. Lasted longer than some of our historic blizzards.

Off Hopewell-Wertsville...N. of the actual borough. It's actually more only like 420'-450' okay but still way more elevation than my old house was my only point!

Surprisingly I'm at like 500' at my property here. Way better than the 33 ft I was at in lower bucks. Look up the Sourland "Mountains"

My expectations all along have been warning level event. Should still score that in Hopewell with the initial WAA thump. 6-10" sounds about right though I'm expecting more like 4-8". This is my first winter being in a traditional CAD zone with some elevation so I'm not as sure. Based on my old spot in Levittown though, I'd only be expecting 2-4" there. 1-3" on the WAA thump then over to mainly sleet with light rain during the dry slot. Similar for philly. Feel for you guys and I hope the trend stops because I'm on the edge of warning snow now...