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The Iceman

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Everything posted by The Iceman

  1. The Iceman
    Winter of 01-02 redux incoming? Or 11-12? Weren’t both super dry?
  2. The Iceman
    What is going to be the best time to view?
  3. The Iceman
    Tigers/Padres WS or bust
  4. The Iceman
    I literally have zero memory of that WS and I usually watch them all regardless.
  5. The Iceman
    Totally agree, there are definitely posts in this thread that are clearly not in good faith and straight up just trolling. Should be a no tolerance for that kind of thing in banter or otherwise on the wx side and just be an instant ban... However, I also feel for the mods that have enough on their hands in the main thread alone so it’s totally unfair to expect them to police the banter thread as well. It’s a shame that some people feel the need to troll a weather board but unfortunately there’s no shortage of immature morons on the internet that don’t receive enough attention in their daily life. Best thing to do is just ignore them and go about your business as if they don’t exist.
  6. The Iceman
    St Lucie tornado
  7. The Iceman
  8. The Iceman
    https://x.com/thehurricanenet/status/1844064618856976796?s=46&t=HjhTZpQDb4qolHVJRtuc7w I forget how to embed tweets but this is pretty nuts…
  9. The Iceman
    Follow the NWS forecast for your area... not crappy weather.com.
  10. The Iceman
    105 TJ
  11. The Iceman
    Red October more like dead October amirite??
  12. The Iceman
    One of my good friends has a condo in Indian rocks beach and every time I go down there, I think to myself how screwed that area is if a major hurricane ever landfalls there. Lots of homes and businesses without pilings and I’m pretty sure Helene washed out all of the dunes. That area will be unrecognizable if it landfalls in say Clearwater.
  13. The Iceman
    The visible sat loop this morning is mesmerizing. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=meso-meso2-02-96-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined
  14. The Iceman
    No blizzards this winter only haboobs.
  15. The Iceman
    My aunt and uncle live in Live Oak, FL and got hit really hard for the 2nd time this year. They had crazy flooding and some tree damage from Debby now tons of tree damage from Helene. This was just around their house.
  16. The Iceman
    3 straight days with rain wow! .43" on the week. .53" on the month.
  17. The Iceman
    Anyone in the Greenville-Simpsonville, SC area? My parents are supposed to drive from Philly to Roanoke, VA this afternoon to go to Simpsonville tomorrow to see my grandparents. My grandparents don't drive so I can't rely on them to tell me how bad it actually is down there. Is it even going to be possible for my parents to get into Simpsonville tomorrow or are there many roads closed in the area? I've been on the phone all morning trying to convince my Dad not to leave until Sunday but not really getting far, I don't think he realizes how hard they got hit.
  18. The Iceman
    I know, sorry I should have used a sarcasm emoji
  19. The Iceman
    Nope, stuck on .1" for the month. Had a trace yesterday and a trace on saturday, nothing major. Is this a good signal for winter 2024-25?
  20. The Iceman
    Driest September on record going back to 1900 for the Trenton area is .19” in 1941 and they currently have .03”, could be in jeopardy of falling.
  21. The Iceman
    Looking like king GFS completely schooled the euro on this one. Had a few sprinkles on my way into work this morning though they honestly could have just been bugs hitting the windshield. Absolute shutout here. Dry streak rolls on.
  22. The Iceman
    I have .1” on the month so far. Driest September on record could be in reach if this is a complete whiff like the GFS CMC ICON and NAM now show. Nothing really on the horizon after this either.
  23. The Iceman
    I'd say seasonal forecasting for winter is a straight crapshoot these days with warm and snowless becoming more or less the default state. I mean last year was pretty unanimously supposed to be an average to slightly above average winter that was well below normal. Most expected 2020-2021 to be mediocre and we ended up OK. ENSO is no longer a real good indicator for how winter is going to behave and hasn't been for like 10 years now. Pretty much just have to wait until the end of November and assess as it unfolds. If you go warm and snowless around here on a seasonal outlook, it's going to end up correct more often than not. The climo around here has always been feast or famine when it comes to snowfall and the late 2000's/early 2010's skewed the perception of how many good snow years we actually get.
  24. The Iceman
    Just measured a 51 mph gust on my PWS. Pretty impressive. Lots of leaves and small branches down around here. Will be interesting to see if more wind mixes down to the surface as the line pushes through. Tornado threat looking negligible at the moment save for maybe a brief spin up.
  25. The Iceman
    .4” overnight, 4.55” since Tuesday.
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