The Iceman

.5” last night here. The penny events continue… now up to 5 events with 6” accumulation total on the season

Ticket prices are going down… me and my buddy are keeping an eye on it. This pretty much a dream of mine so I’m willing to fork out some $$$ to attend.

Wish I could make it bigger to truly see it

I don't believe the CMC gradient at all, the cold air pressing in means business, that's a seriously cold air mass. I still think I'd be more worried about a whiff than rain along 95.

12z GFS is a weenie run for sure... double dip with 2 WSW events. 1/19 and 1/24.

Yup 2 of their 3 losses this year they beat themselves. This is a great team. If they don’t turn the ball over, they will win 9 times out of 10 against anyone in the league.

Gfs is going to nail this one from 6 days out isn’t it?

My prediction is Commanders shock the Lions on Saturday, Eagles beat the Rams on Sunday in a close game where Jake Elliot kicks a game winning field goal in the snow as time expires. NFC championship in Philly and they beat the pants off the Commanders to go back to the super bowl to play Buffalo or Baltimore. Super Bowl is a toss up. Go Birds!

Man if the GFS nails this over the Euro and others after being straight azz the last two events that'll be quite a kick in the pants. Snow eagles game would be epic.

00z is where we begin reeling this back in, I’m driving the bus, who’s hopping on?

We don’t typically open storm threads until multiple models have the threat and it’s inside 84 hours. They are a bit of a curse outside that time frame so we just keep general winter discussion in here until a threat becomes more likely.

the great winters tip their hands usually early. Not saying we can’t get to normal but remarkable comeback great seasons like 17-18 are far and few between. I’ll be pretty surprised if we don’t see a sustained above normal period this winter and the pattern on the other models is how we’d roll into it imo. Overall largely striking out during our favorable period when we only see two maybe three favorable periods if we are lucky in a winter would just not be a good sign just my opinion. If we reel in this weekend with a nice 6-12” storm well then most will be well above normal on the year and we won’t be as reliant on the next favorable period to get to above normal.

Welcome to Philly, all you need to know is Go Birds and you’ll get on just fine around these parts

It’s tough that band that went over me and got me to 2” created a dry/light slot over the city. No way that could have been forecasted. If that band hits the city they are at 3” maybe more and the warning is closer to verifying. Given the temps and the timing I understand why they issued it. Potential was there.

Definitely. My mother lives right down the street and she called me in a panic last night asking if she needed to go to Walmart to stock up before the snow and I was like uhhhh it’s only going to be 1-3” tops chill out lol I don’t have cable so I never really watch the local news but I know that’s where she must have gotten the idea it was going to be bad. I always just follow mt Holly, they rarely steer me wrong in snow events. This was another well forecasted storm they trended amounts downward as we got closer and it was definitely correct.

Yeah that’s why I said in the other thread we really need to reel in this weekend and that the GFS is onto something if this winter has any hopes of being above average imo

More like 2-4” if that. Guidance was really keen on most of se pa seeing 1-3” tops by the end and it was correct. There were maybe a model or two that showed s pa into philly in the 3-5” range but the final href was 2-4” most of extreme se pa 1-2” north of that and that seems to have been pretty on point albeit on the low end.

We got a really nice band between 10 and 11:30 am that put down over an inch. The other .8” or so fell from 7-10 and then 11:30-1. Overall not bad. 5.5” on the season. If we can reel in this weekend, we could be cooking with gas this winter.

Just measured 2” in Levittown. Winding down now. Vast majority fell between 9:30 and 12:30.

Crazy, i know nobody is expecting any snow so even 1-3" will catch a lot of people off guard.

I think one of those March 2018 bombs were WSW's for everyone but it could have been rain at the coast, I don't remember.

Agreed. I really like where we sit right now, thinking this has a terrific shot at being a region wide warning event.

.5” snow and sleet this morning. Roads were awful this morning at least by me. 3” on the year now.

Made it down to 6F last night

2.5” in Levittown, way exceeded expectations