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The Iceman

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Everything posted by The Iceman

  1. The Iceman
    So much for the early start to winter this year. First half of December looking mostly wet and mild. Signs that things may change shortly there after but the cans been getting kicked further down the line since early week. Have to start seeing it progress in time. Crazy pac jet is playing havoc on the models, they can’t even nail 5 days out let alone 10-15 days right now… will just have to sit and wait but IMO accumulating snow before Christmas looks like a long shot.
  2. The Iceman
    Below normal snowfall, above normal temps. but seriously that’s what I think.
  3. The Iceman
    1.2" of rain overnight. Chilly this morning, currently 39F.
  4. The Iceman
    First cold rain of the season tonight. Feels like mid winter
  5. The Iceman
    Whoa a RW sighting, winter must be coming Hope you had a great summer man. Any thoughts on this upcoming winter? Most outlooks I've read seem to be leaning towards early chances, lull during peak winter, then more chances late winter/early spring. Would be pretty typical of a fading nina. Would be nice to get a storm or two before Christmas, feels like it's been awhile since we've had a great December storm pre Christmas.
  6. The Iceman
    3-0* And this is a staple of Fletcher team the last few years. They started 7-2-1 in 2020 then 6-2-2 in 2021 before cratering both years. The underlying metrics are pretty bad just like the last 2 years. They've been outplayed all 3 games by a good margin. Carter Hart's .940 sv pct is a large reason they're 3-0. Once that falls to a more normal .920 or so, they'll start losing these games 5-4 or 4-3. It has been refreshing to see the team continue to battle even after going down by multiple scores early. I'm with you though, I was hoping we'd have a san jose start(0-5) and get Fletcher the hell out of here and have a shot at a #1 pick this year since the next Crosby/Mcdavid is coming out.
  7. The Iceman
    Reminded me of Soler's bomb in the world series last year that left Minute Maid park.
  8. The Iceman
    4.55" since Friday night. October is looking like a below normal month in the long range. Is the the correlation cold october here = warm winter or is it just if it snows in October then winter's over?
  9. The Iceman
    4.1” of rain since Friday night. Impressive event. Looks like a brief lull this afternoon before another round of steady rain this evening/tonight.
  10. The Iceman
    .65” of rain overnight. Raw out there now...53 F with winds gusting 20-25 mph.
  11. The Iceman
    Flooding in pawleys island from the surge
  12. The Iceman
    First extreme wind warning just issued: https://twitter.com/NWSTampaBay/status/1575134808707018752?s=20&t=ykf9_kXdUYDtrAeW2TQR1g
  13. The Iceman
    Lloyd D's bio: "Suicide and Brain Damage survivor".. Going for the X2.
  14. The Iceman
    Sarasota 115 mph
  15. The Iceman
    Pretty awesome loop of tonight's intensification(time sensitive): https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=meso-meso1-13-200-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined
  16. The Iceman
    https://www.baynews9.com/fl/tampa/weather/2021/06/07/notable-hurricanes-that-impacted-tampa-bay-that-you-may-not-have-heard-about
  17. The Iceman
    Good
  18. The Iceman
    Only 11 days out
  19. The Iceman
    Another “likely” chance of rain turning out to be isolated showers… picked up .25” last night, nothing at all today and nothing really cooking either…
  20. The Iceman
    Hmm reading the enso charts looks like 1975-76 and 2000-01 were the other 2 3rd year nina's? Both weren't bad winters with 17.5" in 75-76 and 26.1" in 00-01 at PHL. Obviously not a large data set but I think many would take that if 3rd time follows the pattern.
  21. The Iceman
    Picked up .6" early this morning. Definitely a nice soaking for the area. Mon-Tues could be a nice soaking area wide with a coastal storm but still a wide range of solutions in the ensembles ranging from 1-3" to a complete whiff.
  22. The Iceman
    .7" overnight, cranked the humidity way up this morning. Grass still looking dead tho
  23. The Iceman
    Picked up some sprinkles yesterday, not even measurable. The garden is in dire straits besides tomato's and peppers even with watering once a day.
  24. The Iceman
    Looking like another dud for rain today for most of SE PA. Best forcing and instability look to be north and south of us. This sad line of sprinkles is likely it for most of the area. I'm currently at .71" for July with .6" of that falling in 20 minutes so it just immediately ran off. This is the antithesis of last summer where it never wanted to stop raining...
  25. The Iceman
    Looks like areas N and E will be the favored area's for severe today. From SPC:
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