The Iceman

Gfs cold bias in the mid range is just silly at this point. CMC and euro really aren’t much different synoptically, they are just much warmer(realistic as bl temps heading in are scorching). Winter is done for the year.

Yeah definitely getting “sick” and hitting the course one of these days this week… it’ll prob be the nicest week we have until the end of may…

13-14 is my favorite winter of all time that I have lived through. There were so many winter events that season it made Ray Martin give up updating his Winter Storm archive. (Just messing @famartin ) In case anyone is not familiar, his site is THE site for looking back on old storms from 1993-2013 in our area. https://www.raymondcmartinjr.com/weather/ I wish I was good with computers and websites because I'd love to keep updating it to current(and past).

1.55" yesterday. Route 1 south in Morrisville was completely flooded during the height of it. Was quite a mess.

Pretty crazy that we had 11 separate winter events this year for a total of 13.75". Forget nickel and dime that's a penny winter lol

Winter is certainly donezo, but March is looking at least fairly active. I see at least 3-4 decent events in the next 15 days even if they are all rain. Doesn't look all that cold either thankfully.

“Here's my winter forecast: Temps: Dec +1 - +3 Jan +2 - +4 Feb +4 - +6 Mar +1 - +3 Overall +2 - +4 Snowfall at select locations PHL 5-10" TTN 8-14" ABE 15-20" ACY 4-8" With how northern stream dominant the pattern has been this fall, I do think we see a return of the clipper this winter. Think this is how we receive most of our snow with several 1-3"/2-4" storms. I think this will also be a winter of big swings. Some pretty good cold shots followed by temps in the 70's a few days later. I don't see weeks on end of it being cold or warm. Precip overall below normal with a lack of southern stream interaction. We may sneak in a miller B that provides the area with it's biggest snowfall of the year(4-8" type deal) but not seeing a blockbuster as I expect the NAO to remain” I can’t figure out how to cross quote on mobile but this was my winter forecast from November 1st. Overall not bad snow wise and pattern wise, but definitely too warm temp wise. We never really saw huge positive departures this winter. Snowfall wise pretty on point for most areas probably too low in acy and Philly. overall I give winter a B-. We are going to finish slightly below average snow wise but it was mostly cold and we had a lot of snow events even if they were all small advisory events. Some slightly better luck and this would have been a memorable winter. But compared to the last few, it actually felt like winter this year for a full season not just for a few days or weeks so that’s a win in my book.

Also the ground by me is muddy as hell, no drought conditions here at the moment

Saw the first bumble bee of spring outside today. Winters over folks

I was sick all day yesterday but I really don’t believe you guys with 2-4” there’s like a dusting here cmon.

I wasn’t alive for the 1980s but someone was telling me the other day that this was exactly like the typical 80s winter. Does that track for you old heads in here?

Based on radar it’s looking like I’ll get at least 1-2” today

This is why I haven’t committed or even cared about anything this winter past 72 hours. I check the models once a day in the morning and that’s it and I gotta say my mental health has been way better this winter. I’ve honestly enjoyed this winter even though we are currently basically 50% of normal and every storm has been basically a dud. But this is why.. you have every model and ensemble suite basically showing a secs 5 days out and 24 hours later it’s basically on life support. You just can’t get excited in these parts until the storm is inside 3 days and even then it can rug pull. Anything past that, just forget it, it’s not worth the emotional investment. Seriously lol at it, don’t expect anything, and if it’s still there and looking good inside 3 days then start planning the parade.

Tapering off now, 3.5” here in Levittown. Biggest event of the season and brings us to 13” on the year.

I haven’t shaved since the end of the regular season… my neck is itchy and I look scraggly as hell but anything to help the team! Go birds!!