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JerseyWx

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About JerseyWx

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    Butler, NJ

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  1. JerseyWx
    If it's not going to rain, why not sun and blue skies? Really don't see a point in clouds unless it's mid summer for some cooling. This time of year and during spring is perfect.
  2. JerseyWx
    Same here.
  3. JerseyWx
    And this week is really only 3 cooler days. Friday might hit 70. If we just had some more rain mixed in to break things up, this would be an awesome fall. Otherwise these sunny mild days and crisp mornings are outstanding.
  4. JerseyWx
    Yeah it's looking decent so far, I think these bright sunny days and seasonal nights have helped out. Some trees were hit too hard by the dryness though, my Dogwoods were just okay color before they're already dropping crispy leaves.
  5. JerseyWx
    It is what it is. Last fall it rained almost every single weekend. Businesses took a big hit. Making up for it this year, places are packed every weekend.
  6. JerseyWx
    Depends how much we warm up. Next week looks chilly for highs.
  7. JerseyWx
    To me, it just becomes a moot point to keep looking back and seeing how a single month compares to an older aggregate data set. I could understand looking at trends to see how September has changed from 1971-2000, 1981-2010, etc. But overall, the rolling 30 year normals that update every 10 years are meant to smooth the outliers and extremes to give us a more "up to date" idea of what the climate is doing. So even if say Septmeber 2012 and 2015 were extremely warm, that will still be accounted for in the 1991-2020, 2001-2030, and 2011-2040 sets, which gives us a more consistent baseline. My point is, I think we all agree that this September would have had a more positive anomaly if we were to compare it against an older set of normals. But unless we petition for the NWS to switch the way they do things, looking at the newer data we have, it was an average, if not slightly below month.
  8. JerseyWx
    Yeah I completely agree. Reminds me of October '21, albeit a month earlier.
  9. JerseyWx
    The models were downright shameful for this week. Not even worth looking at.
  10. JerseyWx
    It depends where you are really, south Jersey has been a little drier than up here. The grass is starting to brown a bit, but overall it's not like the resevoirs are drying up or there are water restrictions.
  11. JerseyWx
    Honestly I'm glad about it. This time of year it's nice to have tame weather as we wind down from summer. Look at the damage Ida caused, and over a million power outages from Isaias in NJ. Yes we could use some rain, but it's not a drought situation, more of a dry grass and leaf kind of deal.
  12. JerseyWx
    Yeah I think it's because of the week where Debby hit, and then the other week that was like a fall preview with cool daytime highs that were way BN.
  13. JerseyWx
    Thankfully real Fall is still 3 weeks away Must've been the Thundercat or Silver Bullet? Both are nice but it's a hit or miss if you see Dolphins.
  14. JerseyWx
    Honestly it seems as if the forecasts are never nailed down more than a few days out anymore. I've gotten screwed several times this year where things looked decent and I had planned something. I know convection is harder to pinpoint but we had a fair share of busts there as well earlier in the summer.
  15. JerseyWx
    Crazy, although not surprising about November I guess based on warming trends.
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