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Phelps

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Everything posted by Phelps

  1. Phelps
    Just glancing at the GFS over the last few days there have been several runs that don't bring the humidity back at all for the next couple of weeks. LFG.
  2. Phelps
    We're about to transition from whining about lack of cold, to whining about lack of warmth. (at least until the sticky icky gets here)
  3. Phelps
    LOL. Sugar with 25 more inches than Beech. Looks like Gunther's ruler could be acting up again. Might want to get that thing checked out!
  4. Phelps
    I don't mean to downplay the threat of a significant ice storm but how long is this thing going to last? 12 hours? I was in Raleigh for the early 2000s ice storm and it just would not stop raining with temps in the mid 20s. Again, I do think a high impact ice event is in the making but some of these apocalyptic maps need to be taken with a grain of salt.
  5. Phelps
    Looks like we ended up at the lower end of the range. Couple inches at the house. Probably more at the top. I am certainly not complaining though. There is soooo much snow up here right now. It’s been a fantastic winter for us. And I’ll just say it’s been great for my sanity not to have to hope for snow in Charlotte. It hasn’t really snowed there since January 2018 and honestly feels like it might never snow there again. (I realize it will but boy it’s been bleak)
  6. Phelps
    Yeah 6-8 seems about right. Maybe closer to 6 where I am. It was still going to some degree when I left this afternoon. I was surprised. I also got stuck on the BMP trying to leave as they had to shut it down for 90 minutes to clean up a bad wreck. It was pretty dicey out there today. Thankfully it was a Tuesday.
  7. Phelps
    4-5 inches of snow then .25”(?) of rain, and now it’s in the teens. Things are crunchy up here this morning. If we’re going to get to Ray’s 5-10 it better start snowing harder soon
  8. Phelps
    Appreciate the thoughts on Watauga. I'll be there to see whatever falls.
  9. Phelps
    Are the northern counties not in a good spot for this setup? RNK seems to be talking only a few inches for Beech and the GSP map looks to agree.
  10. Phelps
    Yep. Snow Saturday overnnight isn't as exciting when you wake up Sunday to rain. But a few days of nwf could be nice.
  11. Phelps
    Weekend is looking like it might be sloppy. Hopefully the Euro has the idea. But even if it doesn't work out Saturday and Sunday the NWF looks pretty good.
  12. Phelps
    From this morning up on top of Beech. Now 33 degrees (huh?) at the house (4500’)
  13. Phelps
    Yeah where the heck did that come from? A little frustrating as I was up there for 4 days to celebrate New Years and it never got below freezing. Then as I'm packing up it starts to snow unexpectedly. Certainly eyeing a quick return trip Thursday evening. Side note; I know many on this forum are well aware but man it was bustling up in the high country. I think you had almost everything booked up with folks on vacation then on top of that a lot of day trippers had the mountains on their minds as they heard about the White Christmas. The ski resort looked like chaos. I'm happy for the local businesses but also won't mind seeing things get back to "normal".
  14. Phelps
    Not to skip over today's event but any chance the Wednesday storm could be snow for the highest elevations? We've got a gulf low tracking up the coast and some cold air nearby. Just glancing at the global though and it doesn't look cold enough. Can't tell how close we are to something good.
  15. Phelps
    Flakes are flying up on Beech (via the webcams). Weather.com has them with 8-12. Blacksburg office going 2-4. We'll see. Hate this couldn't line up better with Thanksgiving. I'll be watching this one from afar.
  16. Phelps
    Not saying the setup is the same here (maybe it is I don't know) but this feels a bit like last year right after Thanksgiving. That event underperformed and set the tone for the season. Maybe this year will be different!
  17. Phelps
    Agree. Anecdotally it felt like it warmed up during the week with rain Friday turning to snow overnight ushering in a colder weekend with an inch or 2 of snow at the high elevations. Never really got a storm of any substance.
  18. Phelps
    Kinda disappointing up here on Beech. Basically wrapped up about the time I got up here around 7:30. Thought we would pick up some accumulation overnight. Grauple coming through Boone. So it goes with NWF. Probably about done for the winter although I’m sure one or two more little events are likely for the highest elevations.
  19. Phelps
    I know I'm trying to get pumped for a 4 incher and everyone is talking about fly fishing lol. It's all good of course. This one looks decent (i'm selfishly focused on NW mountains) but upside potential seems a bit limited and it looks to be wrapping up quick tomorrow night. Not sure what the ski resorts did to appease the snow gods but they get rain on the weekdays and snow and cold at the end of the week. Pretty remarkable actually.
  20. Phelps
    Yep. I'm obviously not a met so this is really unsophisticated analysis but I have lived in Charlotte my whole life and I could easily see us sitting around waiting for a changeover that doesn't happen until it's too late. When things look borderline for us it hasn't gone well in recent memory and this looks borderline. Would love to be wrong.
  21. Phelps
    Go do this crap in the other thread. It's not that you're wrong. It's just that it's intolerable.
  22. Phelps
    Sucks for the ski resorts. They had such good conditions last weekend. They can deal with warm but 5 inches of rain is tough.
  23. Phelps
    Looks like quite a morning up on top of beech!
  24. Phelps
    Drive straight for the snow man. You've been jonesing hard for days. Enjoy it!
  25. Phelps
    Was worried we were losing the NW flow event this weekend but GSP seems to be leaving the door open. While it looks to be a relatively prolonged period of NW flow snow, the guidance doesn`t agree on if the snowfall amounts will be significant. The wind speeds and directions and the CAA are good but not great. However, there area multiple short waves dropping through the flow across the area and weak low level instability which are favorable. Keep low PoP across the usual areas through the period and will have to keep an eye on the situation for any potentially significant snowfall.
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