PhineasC

Huge change from 12z here. 1"+ liquid in the area now. That's a real storm. Easily a foot here with decent ratios.

Not here.

Bow to the King

Just hook into the GOM...

Just went through the latest runs back to 12z, and they almost all have me in the 6-10 range now. No whiffs. The Canadian models are lamest, a 4-6 deal. NAM is the best, 10-12 verbatim. Assuming rates are better than 10:1 here (a decent bet), this should be a good storm given the east flow which crushes IMBY. Hopefully the models juice up from here and don't pull the rug. I don't have any experience with storms that crush coastal Maine and mostly miss here, but so far in every event so far going back to last winter if heavy bands are rotating into the Portland area they tend to get here too eventually.

Anybody got any more of those snowy model runs...? I'm getting antsy and need a fix, man.

Said it two days in a row, but is now finally the time when the models are locked in on track and 00z can be watching things ramp up??

Yeah the ensembles have looked a lot cooler and flatter for this than the ops.

This GFS run actually dumps here. LOL sneaky nice run

Still not quite there but a lot better.

It’s awesome even up here.

Saved by the blob over my house that keeps showing up.

Def did not expect Euro to double down.

Better run here for sure with the hook more towards the GOM.

It's funny how there are certain locales that are always on the line on these maps no matter what kind of storm it is. Temp, trajectory, QPF... never matters. Always on the line. My place in MD is like that. I am frequently on 1, 2, or even 3 different Iines on DT maps. LOL

You will hear it is both east and west from the weenies. It'll be east tho.

Good way to present a clown map.

Misses the pause and left hook into the GOM that really helps up totals for everyone outside the EMA zone. Still an OK run tho. There have been worse. LOL

It always does that at the surface. Huge jumps with these coastal lows. Usually the GGEM is a little less jumpy IMO but it's been bad too.

"tickle east."

I am still holding at 6-10 here. It's usually pretty easy for me to pull 6" in an east flow scenario even if the storm is mostly a miss. Still time for shifts to give us more precip, but window is closed on major impacts here.

Always a chance it moves even further east I guess.

Yes, not talking about E MA. Not even looking there on these runs; they are locked in and have been forever.

UKMET was an absurd jump east.

Yes, E Mass is fine. Only question is 15 or 30, but the models have been locked on that area for days now. It's everyone else outside the bubble that are swinging wildly.