PhineasC
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Everything posted by PhineasC
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You have been locked in for 20"+ for days. -
Let's get some more models posted to wash out the taste of NAM from our mouths.
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LOL again with this. SE MA has been locked in for days and days. Yes, it looks great there. Yes, it appears that the models are not shifting at all from inside that zone. But outside that little bubble, there have been huge swings the last 48 hours. NAM just cut way back on precip in several areas. It's not that hard to figure out why people are still worried about aspects of the storm. SE MA guys should just log off and gas up their snowblowers at this point.
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The NAM lives rent free in our heads. It's pretty funny the power of this shitty model to send everyone over the edge, with joy or despair.
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It might have three lows at 12z.
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It's always something. This is why 99% of snowstorms end up more pedestrian in the end. Something comes up.
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3k also does the double lows thing but seems to figure it out faster.
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I really tried to not bite on the NAM/Euro scenario of 18" here and just stick to 6-10 which every model has for both of us I think.
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Precip looks more like GFS now, so things seem to have come into line. NAM confines the really noteworthy snows to a stripe of E MA and the Cape. 6-10
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Sort of seems like this double barrel thing is helping us a little up here. Or it's at least not as bad for us as down south.
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Phew, well I'm sure everyone feels better about missing an historic snowstorm knowing that at least you don't need to make a new map.
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Looks to end up basically the same here. 6-10.
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Double barrels means double the firepower, right?
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Messenger tics right on schedule.
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Yeah, a locked-in 10" across the entire region is better IMO. Lot of risk with these boom scenarios. Someone will get screwed and someone will unexpectedly pull 18".
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Didn’t see it mentioned that the 3k came around for 06z. Looks great.
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Winter Storm Watch for Coos. 6-10 on the P&C. Models look great for at least that much here. NAM and Euro want to do 12-15.
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Watches hoisted for Coos. P&C says 6-10. Game on.
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Damn NNE crew asleep on the job. 9 degrees and mod snow here now.
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Yeah, looks like it wants to get the low under NNE.
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Only 12k NAM and Euro show this as some bombed-out HECS monster. GGEM/GFS/ICON/3k NAM/RGEM all show something fairly "standard." Still a nice storm but not something that will be endlessly referenced here for years to come.
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It's a little west for sure, but that move seems to be within wobble territory. This is the first cycle change in a long stretch on this event where the GGEM stayed fairly consistent between runs. Still time for the UKMET to go nuts though.
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Canadian is very similar to 12z. Definitely not zonked like NAM. Reminds me of the GFS more than anything. A pedestrian event.
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I am ready for the upside down maps and "CMC/ukie went east" posts.
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Too close for missiles, switching to guns.
