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PhineasC

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Everything posted by PhineasC

  1. PhineasC
    An "easy" 15-20. No complicated setup. Just a firehose of moisture running the boundary. Models are in great agreement right now for this range.
  2. PhineasC
    GFS looks awesome here. Lock it in.
  3. PhineasC
    Even before that it was cutting up through the Lakes deep into Canada and putting us well into the atmospheric river warm sector. Looked horrendous. So the overall trend for like a week has been south on it. But the current solutions may be a tad too far south, as you noted.
  4. PhineasC
    50/50 chance the UKMET goes way north at 00z and has rain well into Canada. Totally schizo model at the surface, at least.
  5. PhineasC
    Yeah, I could see this getting down to some favored spots in SNE but I don't think this is turning into a Brooklyn snower.
  6. PhineasC
    Euro came back north and looks great for the northern ski zone in VT/NH.
  7. PhineasC
    The very south solutions were outliers given this thing was basically a St. Lawrence rainer a couple cycles ago...
  8. PhineasC
    Had many events now where mixing easily gets to Conway and even Gorham but I hang on here at 31 degrees. I have had very little sleet and ZR here since I came up. Not worried about that. It'll be rain or snow, IMO.
  9. PhineasC
    Euro looks fine for northern areas. I am good at staying cold enough to snow even if mix gets nearby. Lends support to GFS for sure. UKMET is an outlier big time now.
  10. PhineasC
    This was a lot easier to clear than the stuff from 1/17.
  11. PhineasC
    I don't think it will get that far south. UKMET is an outlier and it along with the other models all shifted back north at 12z. It kinda doesn't matter to us if it trends colder, just as long as it doesn't get so cold it shunts the whole thing south. Not seeing signs of that. It's not a super cold airmass. Looks like a really solid overrunning event at the moment. Glad to not have to worry about phasing and stream interaction.
  12. PhineasC
    Or I could cling to the UKMET being right as the furthest south outlier like the others are doing. LOL The GFS is fine here too, as is the Euro. All systems go for NNE so far. Hopefully it holds.
  13. PhineasC
    CMC is a crusher for the northern tier. Feet.
  14. PhineasC
    CMC is nuts here. Better snowblow the decks.
  15. PhineasC
    All models look good here.
  16. PhineasC
    This has a good shot to be a forum pleaser for sure. These events are much simpler. Just nail down the trajectory of the precip and the strength of the high and let 'er rip. This sure beats tracking a cutter through Ohio.
  17. PhineasC
    NH won this round, VT.
  18. PhineasC
    Any word from @jculligan? I see Wildcat is reporting a foot. More wind from this this than I have seen in prior storms. The light nature of this snow meant it was easily blown around. I have some interesting drifts and little canyons around.
  19. PhineasC
    GFS, Euro, and GGEM look great for NNE. Not too worried about UKMET. It’ll shift again. I personally couldn’t care less if this hits SNE too. BOS can get 300” of snow this season. Doesn’t bother me as long as I get mine here.
  20. PhineasC
    Not sure why you are already trolling this thread? Didn’t you just get 30 inches or something? Take a break.
  21. PhineasC
    That UKMET solution is on an island right now. Not sure this thing can get that far south, but I would definitely take a whiff and cold temps over rain. I have a great pack now and would like to hold it until April thanks. These overrunning events tend to be wide and hit a lot of people at the end of the day.
  22. PhineasC
    CMC looks fine here. Model says sleet but that’ll be snow here at verification and a ton of it. As always, biggest threat in NNE is suppression.
  23. PhineasC
    Nice. I am nearly tickling 10" in spots as things wind down so we didn't do too badly at all here on the distant fringes.
  24. PhineasC
    Yeah, pleasantly surprised by the longevity and the rates here. Really nice event despite the model wars. Still snowing well even now, albeit winding down. Very happy here. P&C forecast seemed dead-on here, from the start time to the range.
  25. PhineasC
    Starting to really look good for the northern tier. Days of snow.
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