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PhineasC

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Everything posted by PhineasC

  1. PhineasC
    SREFs have burned us many times. They can appear to be very stubborn which makes it seem that they have caught on to some trend ahead of the other models, but then it turns out they are just crap and were way off the whole time. People also forget to take out the outliers (high and low) to produce the mean. There are some real garbage members in there (various ARW - Always Really Wet and NMM - Never Much Moisture runs) that always mess up the mean.
  2. PhineasC
    What's the HUUURRR saying?
  3. PhineasC
    Figures Chuck would be hugging the RAP. Fits the mental profile.
  4. PhineasC
    You always do well. Snow starts early and ends late.
  5. PhineasC
    LOL 4 inches coming soon.
  6. PhineasC
    The true jackpot king right here.
  7. PhineasC
    The forecast of 8-12 for DCA is a joke. They MIGHT record 5 or 6. Of course, just outside the airport could definitely verify those numbers.
  8. PhineasC
    Of course you start snowing before many other people. Just as predicted. It won't stop snowing there until Monday. Fringe city!
  9. PhineasC
    Is this really a cold powder storm at this point? It's not that cold.
  10. PhineasC
    That LWX snow map is a little odd. Seems to shortchange southern MD a bit. DC won't get a foot if those areas are screwed.
  11. PhineasC
    Fringe gang deathband building as usual. Sparky will have 4 inches on his deck by dusk.
  12. PhineasC
    No man can predict what the NAM will do. It obeys no one or no law.
  13. PhineasC
    Models are playing catch up. The warning snows will be across the entire CWA by the time all is said and done.
  14. PhineasC
    LWX in catch-up mode is always a good sign for snow.
  15. PhineasC
    LOL at parsing the UKMET precip map.
  16. PhineasC
    I would take the globals and smooth out the precip maps on them. They aren't going to be too good at nailing anything too specific in that regard. Snow max could end up anywhere from RIC to Mason/Dixon line.
  17. PhineasC
    4-6 is reasonable for Baltimore unless the Euro craps the bed.
  18. PhineasC
    Worries of mixing down south is great news. Keep them coming!
  19. PhineasC
    Great illustration of how the north trend works.
  20. PhineasC
    Persistent death band over slower lower DE.
  21. PhineasC
    Nice powdery snow here in Millville. A rare treat anywhere in the MA but especially near the coast. Looks like decent flake size.
  22. PhineasC
    Yes. Rarely comes in handy in the winter.
  23. PhineasC
    Here in Millville. Beer is cold.
  24. PhineasC
    Epic sick textbook snow pattern should be in place by 1 Jan... oops I mean 10 Jan... uh make that 15 Jan... never mind, try 18 Jan... sorry, I got it this time, 22 Jan. That's the window I am sure of it!
  25. PhineasC
    They don't make 'em like that anymore.
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