PhineasC
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Everything posted by PhineasC
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49/34 doesn’t strike me as a torch around these parts, but hey we are in sad, self-pity mode here right now so I guess it qualifies. Yup, not gonna snow on Christmas in the furnace and that’s just not fair.
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The older I get the less I understand the endless pattern chasing some do. It's hardly better than a coin flip despite all the angst and analysis. I used to eat this shit up, but not anymore.
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Apparently it is superior for weather over the ocean as well as things such as sea state/wave height. I have also been told it sucks at that as well, so go figure.
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Managed to snag tickets to last night. It was great to see him in action live. Shame the special teams was so poor. Never seen such a shitty performance from them. The Jets have something in Darnold. He had flashes of solid performance.
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And if you don’t like it, they say you can just pound sand and leave, as if the majority of posters here chose this style of control or who is making these rules and enforcing them. I couldn’t imagine waking up each morning giddy to come to a weather board and enforce order, whether people wanted it or not. But when you lack control at work and home, a place like this becomes an outlet where you can be in control.
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I don’t care to post here much anymore either because the control freaks have taken over. These guys destroy boards and run long time posters away. It’s always the same couple of people. Used to be funny, now just sad. And they will make very predictable responses to this post, “not my rules” “I just enforce them” “only following orders” etc. I doubt the person that supposedly set the rules even gives a shit.
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Why worry about it? These predictions beyond 3-4 weeks are barely better than coin flips. The first two weeks of December were supposed to be warm we were told in November. So far, it's been mostly overcast and chilly/windy around these parts, very typical December weather. And warm/wet followed by cold/dry is a cycle we get here every single winter several times.
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You guys always seem to forget HM is not IMBY-centric like most other Twitter and forum mets so as long as someone in the eastern seaboard is getting snow, he will say it’s a “snowy pattern for the east” and such. It’s often fool’s gold to assume he is talking about anything that will benefit us.
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LOL more long range busts. It's amazing how confident and self-assured some people get with these forecasts when they are basically guessing. Some folks need to learn to hedge a bit more.
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Don't worry, the snow will all be gone soon and then you can disappear again.
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Look great to me!
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I would describe this snow as more like the tar from an emphysemic smoker's lungs after a three pack a day habit for 40 years... but yeah still awesome.
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Models often overdo the "second phase" of these events. and the HRRR/RAP at range are really suspect. Based on radar, things are winding down, could be some bursts here and there, sure. Great event. So often things are boom or bust around here. Always nice to get a "standard" 4-6 inch snowstorm for the area. Like your grandpa used to frequently enjoy from DEC 1 to MAR 1 before our climate was apparently screwed up. LOL
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SREFs have burned us many times. They can appear to be very stubborn which makes it seem that they have caught on to some trend ahead of the other models, but then it turns out they are just crap and were way off the whole time. People also forget to take out the outliers (high and low) to produce the mean. There are some real garbage members in there (various ARW - Always Really Wet and NMM - Never Much Moisture runs) that always mess up the mean.
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What's the HUUURRR saying?
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Figures Chuck would be hugging the RAP. Fits the mental profile.
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You always do well. Snow starts early and ends late.
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LOL 4 inches coming soon.
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The true jackpot king right here.
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The forecast of 8-12 for DCA is a joke. They MIGHT record 5 or 6. Of course, just outside the airport could definitely verify those numbers.
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Of course you start snowing before many other people. Just as predicted. It won't stop snowing there until Monday. Fringe city!
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Is this really a cold powder storm at this point? It's not that cold.
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That LWX snow map is a little odd. Seems to shortchange southern MD a bit. DC won't get a foot if those areas are screwed.
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Fringe gang deathband building as usual. Sparky will have 4 inches on his deck by dusk.
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No man can predict what the NAM will do. It obeys no one or no law.
