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PhineasC

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Everything posted by PhineasC

  1. Do they still use their boom and bust scenarios that allow them to cover every outcome and never bust?
  2. Can't recall ever seeing a national radar quite like this.
  3. Snow depth should show how much snow is on the ground after melting, compaction, shitty rates, etc.
  4. Don't worry, the snow will all be gone soon and then you can disappear again.
  5. I would describe this snow as more like the tar from an emphysemic smoker's lungs after a three pack a day habit for 40 years... but yeah still awesome.
  6. Models often overdo the "second phase" of these events. and the HRRR/RAP at range are really suspect. Based on radar, things are winding down, could be some bursts here and there, sure. Great event. So often things are boom or bust around here. Always nice to get a "standard" 4-6 inch snowstorm for the area. Like your grandpa used to frequently enjoy from DEC 1 to MAR 1 before our climate was apparently screwed up. LOL
  7. SREFs have burned us many times. They can appear to be very stubborn which makes it seem that they have caught on to some trend ahead of the other models, but then it turns out they are just crap and were way off the whole time. People also forget to take out the outliers (high and low) to produce the mean. There are some real garbage members in there (various ARW - Always Really Wet and NMM - Never Much Moisture runs) that always mess up the mean.
  8. Figures Chuck would be hugging the RAP. Fits the mental profile.
  9. You always do well. Snow starts early and ends late.
  10. The forecast of 8-12 for DCA is a joke. They MIGHT record 5 or 6. Of course, just outside the airport could definitely verify those numbers.
  11. Of course you start snowing before many other people. Just as predicted. It won't stop snowing there until Monday. Fringe city!
  12. Is this really a cold powder storm at this point? It's not that cold.
  13. That LWX snow map is a little odd. Seems to shortchange southern MD a bit. DC won't get a foot if those areas are screwed.
  14. Fringe gang deathband building as usual. Sparky will have 4 inches on his deck by dusk.
  15. No man can predict what the NAM will do. It obeys no one or no law.
  16. Models are playing catch up. The warning snows will be across the entire CWA by the time all is said and done.
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