PhineasC
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Everything posted by PhineasC
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Mid January/Mid February Medium/Long Range Discussion
PhineasC replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
As has been case for the last few winters, we need to wait for the atmosphere to start shuffling in March and then hope for 30 days of winter before we enter chilly mud season. -
This winter is so lame. Hope spring comes early, but I’m sure the super blocking and negative NAO will show up in April just in time to make spring miserable.
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The snow gods are real.
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He’s the kind of guy that said flying machines would never happen and the first time one crashed he shook his cane towards the wreckage and said, “I told you so!!” A new dinosaur for our era.
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The Canadian models run warm because it’s always so cold in Canada being off by a few degrees doesn’t matter.
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Past history has tended to show that when the Euro remains stubborn, the other models eventually cave to it. Not scientific, just a gut feel thing around here.
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Seems like the rare times we do have 18 degree snow, the flake size sucks and it's basically pixie dust, so I agree people have the wrong impression about this. We almost always overestimate ratios here. They seem to usually end up 10:1 or below on average. Only things more overhyped are ice storms and inches-per-hour expectations.
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Seems like a good thing if the cold high is slowing it down and pushing it south.
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Why look at a storm 11 days away when the models are jumping all over the place on this first one? There is very little chance they have the second storm even close to right yet.
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LOL Kirk Cousins is such a dope.
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I’m ok with super deep cold and dry versus this mild weather like we have upcoming.
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Sort of lame in Kingsville but always nice to see snow falling.
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You are also probably simply more accurate and don’t slant stick your obs like some others do.
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DC could hit 45-50 before the precip starts. What a hellhole.
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Seems like every storm you have the most depressing obs of anyone in the region.
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He desperately wants someone to tell him he's wrong and he will get tons of snow. So that's why he keeps putting his bait out there.
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I wouldn't expect any snow where you are. Best bet is to just log off for now.
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I just got NAM'ed.
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Not sure what’s wrong with some of your backyards — temps are fine here. Around freezing already. Maybe turn off the propane grill or try not living in the middle of a Sears parking lot?
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Cwg calling for 65 5 days from now We had a better winter in the fall.
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Sparky will have 4 inches on his deck 2 hours after the snow starts.
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Prime climo for snow for this region is now the month of March. It hardly ever snows December and January any more.
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Great job with your model reading lately, keep up the good guessing.
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Wow, a week without snowfall and temps in the 40s in December on the coastal plain. Definitely worth a few meltdowns, I guess.
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The forecast looks pretty seasonal between now and the beginning of December to me. Highs in the 40s and lows in the lower 30s. Wasn't this supposed to be the shutout inferno period of doom? Seems pretty normal to me. Maybe some overhyping going on...
