PhineasC

This winter has been dead since early December. All that has kept the fires burning is weenie denial, plain and simple.

So you are saying April and May will be like DJF... ok.

My spring forecast is days and days of overcast, temps upper 40s to 50s, and rain. So much rain. NAO will be very negative during this time. Enjoy! Oh and wind. Can't forget wind. It will blow non-stop from the north.

Setting up for cold, rainy April and May. The "March pattern change" will be delayed and not take effect until later in the month when it's too late for meaningful snow, unless you are @losetoa6 and track chances for ice pellets at 5 AM every day.

It isn't like we have had near misses. If that was the case, I could see us getting some snow in March. The fact is, the snow has been at least 500-1,000 miles away all winter, at best. There is no fixing something that rotten.

Yep below normal when its bone dry and above normal when we have precip I would just take some actual damn cold at this point.

I don’t know where you guys are getting the stamina to keep analyzing this putrid “winter.”

You also closely track stray ice pellets in April. I suspect your definition of a good season would include many tiny non-events that add up to a few inches in total.

That was a very narrowly focused storm. I remember it was very, very lame up here. If you got a foot from that, you will have rose-tinted glasses over the last few winters for sure. Last storm of real note here was Blizzard of 2016. Been mostly garbage since.

Like endlessly worrying about being fringed in every event when you always end up with the highest totals?

They have to appease hundreds of thousands of completely idiotic viewers who are concerned with their own personal comfort above all else. You have to remember that the majority of people are really ignorant. They don't even know basic things such as when the US was founded, who fought in WWII, how vaccines work, etc. The idea that cold snaps are needed to maintain our ecosystem is totally foreign to them. They probably think "Florida is always warm and it's nice there." They have zero insight or understanding of the risks of invasive species moving north. It just doesn't cross their minds.

LOL 5 years. I doubt we get this in January.

It could be fewer years, but we are in a shit long-term pattern right now. Maybe we break free next year. Keep checking the CFS, I guess.

The climate is definitely changing. I won't get into the cause, because honestly I haven't studied it that much. But things are different now than in my grandpappy's day.

I think this one might be cooked, dude. I am bracing for a chilly mud season lasting through June, honestly. Heavy rain and 50s through May. It's going to be overcast, wet, and windy for like two months straight.

Bob, just seems like we are in a bad decadal pattern at this point. 2003-2014 was a good run per historical norms. We are in a bad period. Starting in 2017-ish, so we have a few more years to go.The Blizzard of 2016 was unappreciated by many because it seemed lame compared to the 2009-2010 HECS events, but by 2024 we will be begging for half of it.

March is deep winter around here now, so yes.

Seems fitting we’d now miss one to the south and NC will get a big storm. Watch this be the one time this season the cold press gets stronger.

There is a line between eternal optimism and rampant delusion, and I sometimes wonder with you...

Folks, time to admit that 2009-2016 was our "golden years" period like the 1960s and we are now into a decade of complete shit. A sustained -NAO in DJF may not happen until 2025 at the earliest. Blocking is only for spring and these days high pressures are complete chumps easily brushed aside by 1010 mb lows.

LOL you know winter's dead when you check back in to the thread and the regulars are talking about all-time shutout stats.

Our climate is becoming like Raleigh, NC’s and we need to just accept that. I guess their climate is more like Augusta, GA and Augusta is more like Orlando or Tampa at this point.

The Cosgrove references are taking me back to 2004.

LOL it’s been a terrible winter out there too. No way to sugar coat it. There has almost no reason for me to chase snow out there.

Just bring on spring already.