The weenie rule in the MA is that the warm air comes in a little stronger than modeled and the cold air comes a little later than progged. Cold air chasing rain very rarely works out down there. Curious to see how it goes up here.
Just based on the snow maps, doesn’t look like GYX or BTV are buying the more southerly GFS solutions. Cutoff for good snow is in central to southern NH.
All models 8-12 or so here. Great consistency. Hope we get a bit more juice involved as we get well into meso range. The last couple runs have dried out a little.
It was fine up here with precip. It’s been pretty consistent. Just slow creeps south on temps. I expect the GFS to be the model that bends the knee this time.