PhineasC
-
Posts
34,634 -
Joined
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by PhineasC
-
I talked about that last night. That is expected because we have no herd immunity or treatment. The graph would dive just as fast on the other side as the virus runs out of easy victims. We are getting a years worth of flu deaths compressed into 3 months, but the area under the curve would end up the same over time. Just my opinion anyway.
-
OK. Seems kinda theoretical. America is what it is. We value personal freedom more than any other nation on earth. Makes us more vulnerable to COVID-19, it appears, but many of us are OK with that compared to the alternative.
-
It turns out that is case numbers not death numbers (as asserted) so no point in discussing.
-
More useless data. So much of that out there right now.
-
That looks nothing like those VA numbers to me.
-
Those are weird numbers and do not track to the rest of the world. Either VA is really unique or they have a data issue.
-
"This is dramatically different than the flu." Yes, we have zero herd immunity to COVID-19. This is what that looks like. In 2 years it will look like the flu, or likely even less potent because it mutates much more slowly.
-
I have zero source for those numbers. If I get a source I can comment further. They look nothing like any other locality. Not even NYC. Very weird numbers.
-
Let's look at ARDS and pneumonia deaths instead of calling them COVID-19 deaths.
-
It seems clear the governors were using the early 10%+ CFR data from Italy they had at the time. I don't know that for sure, but that's my guess. The governors are now ingesting better data hence the focus on reopening.
-
I have been posting stats I have found intriguing. If you agree with a May gradual opening, we have no disagreement.
-
Those numbers disagree with the rest of the world strongly... I don't put any stock in them. Where did you get that chart? It looks like no other place on earth.
-
He was using bad data from Italy like the other governors.
-
At some point we need to emerge from this and say the numbers are OK now...
-
Global IFRs are important and the best data we have right now is from China and Europe. US data sucks right now.
-
How much of that was prep based on bad models? Cuomo was screaming he needed 40k extra ventilators at the same time.
-
I have no issues with the shutdown calls. Hogan made the right decision on that and has handled this well so far.
-
I hope I don't get it, but I feel confident that if I get it I will be fine. I don't worry about my kids. Stats are very strong that kids are functionally immune to serious issues with this, which is very different than flu.
-
The rationale for every single shutdown nationally was to avoid overwhelming hospitals. Flatten the curve is 100% about that. There is a shifting narrative now to say it was about readying ourselves for the fall wave, but that is revisionist BS. My memory isn't that bad.
-
I could see that too. and that's a shame. Unwarranted fear of COVID is dangerous too...
-
My logic and math are fine. Your issue is that I am not valuing the life of an 80 year old with COPD and heart failure highly enough. That's your right, even if I don't agree.
-
Disagree strongly, but I totally see your viewpoint. There is no easy answer to this.
-
Agreed. Not arguing it. I am arguing that the narrative of hospitals across the land being stuffed and people dying in the streets from lack of ventilators was overblown. Bigger impact now is hospitals are laying off staff and closing due to lack of patients...
-
If you are having a heart attack, you will go to the hospital. COVID fear should be a distant memory at that point.
-
I think so. The outbreaks out west seem to be under control.
