PhineasC

Kind of an obvious factor. Elevators too.

My Boomer neighbors have been mowing 5 days a week so they are doing their part.

If you think so. I made a one line statement. I am now providing clarifications. I haven’t seen you provide much beyond gotchas. Put your guess out there, champ.

Sports have already been canceled. I don’t think things already canceled months ago will come back.

You calling me a contrarian troll is pretty hilarious.

Those things will be allowed with some caveats but very poorly attended/patronized, IMO.

As expected...

They will cave if everyone around them is open. They will have to unless they put checkpoints at the State border.

It’s gonna be funny seeing the pivot and excuse making here when every state is wide open by mid May. ”Wow my governor just said COVID disappeared overnight! Amazing!”

It won't matter to the #stayathome and #everylifematters virtue signalers.

It was supposedly 80%+ just recently so it sounds like it is dropping, as expected with the weather warming up...

I don't think you are antagonizing me. I am under the impression you just don't understand the stats all that well and are just watching too much TV news.

It appears COVID-19 is not so lethal that herd immunity won't eventually relegate it to "normal" status. Like swine flu. Our lack of herd immunity means the virus is running rampant now, but that won't continue. That's not how viruses like this work. This isn't MERS with a 30% death rate. It is high R0, low IFR. So it hits us hard for a few months and then fizzles into the background as another respiratory disease we see at low numbers every year. So, this was basically a viral "bomb" that went off and then will fade. Acting like this will kill thousands of Americans indefinitely unless we undertake major interventions is BS.

LOL people here get so mad when I point out that the stats they have been consuming for 40 days straight as the basis for every opinion they have on this virus are total crap.

I can promise you Dr. Fauci isn't basing any of his guidance on rolled up national daily case numbers given with zero context.

If a bomb explodes in your city and kills 1,000 people in a day, would you go around saying that based on the data today bombs kill as many or more people per day in the city as guns? No, of course not.

OK, well I can't make it any simpler for you.

You have zero idea when those 30k people caught the virus or from whom. It kinda tells you nothing, actually.

Where are you getting those numbers?

It may not end up much worse globally than a really bad flu year with social distancing measures in place. Depends on what happens in the fall.

Sorry if you don't understand. If we go up the curve in 30 days and back down in 30 days, how can you compare day to day numbers to a disease that kills at a fairly even rate for 6-7 months of the year (in some places)? You need to look at the impact across the year to make it apples to apples.

Depends on the country, but in places in Africa and Latin America you'd find a ton of cases, yes. Climate may be holding the virus back a bit there.

So has it occurred to you that the "daily excess deaths" figures you just noted may not mean much as a snapshot today? Smooth them over the year like we do with flu deaths.

Ugh this is ridiculous fear-mongering.

I am still not sure if you realize these numbers are completely at the mercy of test volume. Way more than that have COVID-19 right now. Way more.