PhineasC

Warning for 7-10. Hope to do better than that for sure. Latest GYX map has me in the 12-18 shading.

3k is awesome.

P&C is 9-17. No warnings yet. Doesn’t this start in under 24 hours…? Seems late.

12-15 here, outside shot at 18. Some of these runs have near 2” liquid.

Thinking 12-15 here.

36 here on south winds. Feels like 60.

Figured it had to break towards the consensus position eventually.

They like to wait on warnings until last moment, I've noticed.

The Canadian models have been warm and north all along and barely ever budged.

That 12k run was lame. Tossed it in favor of the 3k.

Looks like they and GYX are still tossing the GFS.

All alone this morning, but it’s awesome here so I hope it verifies.

Models juiced up so looking like 12-15” across NNE.

I think that's a decent bet. Sleet maybe, I am always doubtful of ZR personally. Still some decent model spread out there tonight, but the varsity models of GFS and Euro seem to be coming together nicely so it's easier to just ignore the other goofball models.

UK has a vicious temp gradient in SNE. CT and RI are mostly rain. Ice stays in MA it looks like.

CMC rolling now on regular sites. Looks same as it has for several cycles now. Warm for everyone but the northern tier.

Yeah, looks weird, I assume it's a model burp. Lots of rain for parts of SNE either way it seems.

That's rain. It jumped north with the best snows. Nice run for up this way.

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Feels very similar to last winter here. Bigger storms have hit on nearly the exact same dates too, which is kinda weird... Statistically, I am significantly below normal on snowfall, but I am still on MD climo so it all feels like the best winter of my life to me. It's been much colder than last winter so that has helped offset the lack of snow. Turns out last winter was pretty mild. Many called it a NNE ratter. I have nearly 2 feet of pack and another 12"+ looming. Hard to complain. Once I get more seasons here I will be able to compare and this may end up ranking as a ratter too. The record for this area has a few 240" inch winters since 2010 which is hard to imagine. it must snow nearly every day for that to happen.

The models love printing out phantom ice storms that just don't make sense synoptically.

yeah, increased .25" here which isn't just noise. Hopefully Euro matches it and we can put this one on ice.

Ends up throwing more precip around when cold enough to snow both north and south. Hard to hate that.

Yeah, it has a later rally down there and ends up a bit better than 18z verbatim.