Yeah you kinda need the Euro to hold at this point. Despite what they say, I would rather have it in my corner over the other models at this time range, especially with the GFS going west last two runs.
One just has a higher resolution, which can be a good or bad thing sometimes. Impossible to say which is more or less likely to be right at this point. Usually a good bet to be hesitant about the NAM in general.
I’ve realized that about Vermont and here in many events. They are sometimes snowing for hours before I see much. LOL that’s a lot of @powderfreak and J. Spin obs to endure while waiting.
Make sense. If the 3k ran a few more panels I think it would show the same big totals up here the 12k 06z had. So I feel better.
Hope the GFS helps clear things up, not holding my breath.
Euro has been pretty consistent with a snowstorm for me. NAM at 00z missed me, crushed me at 06z, back to minor snows at 12z. Hard to have faith in that.
The 3k NAM has a much better look here than the 12k. I noticed you guys don’t seem to use the 3k NAM as much? The Mets at LWX told us to basically use it exclusively over the 12k. We just hug the snowiest output of course. LOL
I get that in Berlin. At least you sort of have the accent. They all keep saying I am “from the south.” Could be Atlanta or deep in the Louisiana swamps for all they know/care.