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PhineasC

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Everything posted by PhineasC

  1. PhineasC
    Maybe one run at 18z won’t be weak and way east. Every other one has been so far.
  2. PhineasC
    Disaster unfolding folks. Now the RGEM cut way back. This isn’t just a burp. Hopefully 00z heads back the other way. GFS will be putrid I think.
  3. PhineasC
    I am not worried about the ICON and the NAM, but weak/east/OTS has always been a major risk with this thing.
  4. PhineasC
    If GFS goes weak/east, probably time to worry this thing is slipping away.
  5. PhineasC
    It’s way further east. It mixed me with rain at 12z.
  6. PhineasC
    It made a great move for me at 12z. Hope it keeps it up so we can toss the NAM.
  7. PhineasC
    Yep, best snow is often in the “fringe” zone just north and west of modeled best QPF. Usually a band parked there. Also other wildcards such as temps and terrain here.
  8. PhineasC
    The HRRRRRR at 48 hours sounds like the NAM at 384 to be honest.
  9. PhineasC
    Let’s hope it’s wrong.
  10. PhineasC
    I usually wait to toss until the GFS runs just to make sure the NAM didn’t sniff something out.
  11. PhineasC
    Hopefully just a burp cycle for the crappy NAM.
  12. PhineasC
    Hopefully 3k is still OK.
  13. PhineasC
    Everyone wanted east. There you go!
  14. PhineasC
    I’m thinking I will end up in great shape with better ratios and orographic enhancement, not to mention the upslope after the storm.
  15. PhineasC
    Could be a NNE forum divider for sure, although Maine needs this one. I could end up on the outside looking in if this keeps sliding east.
  16. PhineasC
    Nicer map for me.
  17. PhineasC
    GFS and Euro line up really well here now, and they are supported by the GGEM and Ukie so hopefully this holds with just minor wobbles at this point. NAM will do what it does.
  18. PhineasC
    Would take that in a heartbeat, just hope the rightward correction is now over.
  19. PhineasC
    Euro went from having me on the right side of the best snow to the left side in two runs. This run was still great here. Hopefully it and the GFS lock in now.
  20. PhineasC
    I hope this is it for the east slide.
  21. PhineasC
    Euro looks warm at the surface for some of you guys.
  22. PhineasC
    Well, I think you guys are crazy. I want this storm.
  23. PhineasC
    It has been shifting subtly east since 18z yesterday, IMO. I expect another minor tug right.
  24. PhineasC
    Yeah, no need for us to parse the UKMET clown maps. We are just embarrassing ourselves. LOL
  25. PhineasC
    Looks like more like 12-15 up through MBY to Maine based on the Pivotal maps.
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