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PhineasC

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Everything posted by PhineasC

  1. PhineasC
    What are we talking in terms of extra snow? This is of course different with a large bombing low pull down moisture on NW winds. Seems like a good setup.
  2. PhineasC
    Might be a little too far east for Texas given all the ticks.
  3. PhineasC
    I have a mix here now at 34 degrees. Light rain and some gloppy flurries buzzing around.
  4. PhineasC
    The RGEM is terrible in all facets for basically everyone. Further east and warmer. Gross.
  5. PhineasC
    Yep, I have noticed the recent runs that miss us with some of the synoptic stuff keep upslope overhead for a long while.
  6. PhineasC
    The HRRR was upgraded recently right? Are you guys trusting it? I have always known it to run kinda warm.
  7. PhineasC
    Definitely more snow mixed in now. I can see the line dropping on radar over the whites. Should flip at some point here.
  8. PhineasC
    34 degrees, light rain/snow mix.
  9. PhineasC
    In MD, we call it the "Westminster Death Band" because it is always over Westminster, MD no matter where models show the best precip.
  10. PhineasC
    Well, on the Kuchera maps I went from like 30" to 23" to 17" in the last three NAM runs. Hope this is it for the "tics."
  11. PhineasC
    I will do that until the storm is over. I am figuring I am locked in for 5-7 just from upslope and orographic enhancement stuff as long as this thing just keeps "tic'ing" or whatever.
  12. PhineasC
    NAM does that all the time in storms down south in my experience, yet there is always a mega-band that develops in the fringe zone that jackpots them. It loves the super-sharp cutoff.
  13. PhineasC
    Yeah, west and deeper than 18z as it rounds the cape, but the NW cutoff is really tight now.
  14. PhineasC
    Definitely a little east with a wicked cutoff. I am riding the line here suddenly.
  15. PhineasC
    Some of this on the NAM seems to just be the precip shield tightening up. I have seen it do that many times. It is usually too aggressive with the mega-cutoff.
  16. PhineasC
    Those WB snow maps really are aggressive with the totals. The map on TT is quite a bit more tame (still really good, but not a huge fat stripe of 12-15 like that.
  17. PhineasC
    00z HRRR is definitely a bit east with the low position. Hope this "tic" bullshit reverses on the majors for 00z.
  18. PhineasC
    I am getting light rain here. There may be some flakes mixed. It looks like really "thick" rain and kinda gloopy in the light. 34 degrees.
  19. PhineasC
    I don't have access to the 18z Euro maps, but the 12z Euro had 17" at my exact lat/long. Just eyeballing the 18z map it looked just a little lower (different color scale from Pivotal). Anyway, too much parsing of one run.
  20. PhineasC
    Still 12-15 here so basically the same as 12z. But others further west are getting slowly bled to death on this so one weenie on a rowboat in the ocean can get chillier rain.
  21. PhineasC
    Thanks, I hate it.
  22. PhineasC
    Is this what you guys call the “messenger shuffle”?
  23. PhineasC
    34 flurries
  24. PhineasC
    <CRAS has entered the chat>
  25. PhineasC
    Flurries here. Forecast is for 12-18. Things are good.
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