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PhineasC

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Everything posted by PhineasC

  1. PhineasC
    Definitely did not expect to be outside grilling at the end of December.
  2. PhineasC
    18z GFS seems basically identical to 12z.
  3. PhineasC
    Second best model reference right there!
  4. PhineasC
    This upcoming storm went from a massive tropical cutter to a weak SWFE in a couple cycles so the 3-4 event is worth watching of course.
  5. PhineasC
    Euro is colder up here. Best run yet from that model.
  6. PhineasC
    Did you have to clear the yard for that one?
  7. PhineasC
    Yep, same thing happened here. I was wiped out very quickly here whereas there was a little more snow left over down in the town (not much, mind you).
  8. PhineasC
    Just flurries here.
  9. PhineasC
    Sounds like some Farmer’s Almanac BS.
  10. PhineasC
    CMC has the best look for the northern tier. Basically all snow, the low passes south of us. Too bad it's the CMC.
  11. PhineasC
    At least the Philly crew isn't here to tell us this storm needs to fizzle so they can track one down there.
  12. PhineasC
    CMC seems to have recovered from whatever happened to it last night.
  13. PhineasC
    You guys should find common ground by talking about how much snow I will get.
  14. PhineasC
    I love kinky isobars. Dirty little sl*ts.
  15. PhineasC
    06z GFS and 00z Euro didn't look all that dissimilar to me. Only really outlier right now is the CMC, but I expect it to correct at 12z. It looks like GYX is pretty confident the models have a handle on the basic storm evolution, they are waiting for more data on temps, especially from the mesos.
  16. PhineasC
    Real ice storms seem like they would be pretty easy to come by, but in my experience they are much harder to get than 18" of snow. Yet as soon as the models show moderate rain at 31.5 degrees folks start calling it an "ice storm threat."
  17. PhineasC
    I've always found it to be a good idea to punt on serious ice outside of a truly anomalous setup. The ice storm fetishists will always be able to find a picture of some iced-up sick tree from their area that falls on a car and supposedly "verifies the ice storm." Happens all the time in the MA forum. I'm sure there is a tree leaning over in the Tolland area that will be taken out in this event no matter how much ice actually falls, and it will be posted on Twitter.
  18. PhineasC
    Wrong subforum, too.
  19. PhineasC
    This event has had some of the biggest run to run changes I can recall recently. Big shifts every cycle.
  20. PhineasC
    I don’t want to give up a storm so NYC and PHL weenies have something to track. LOL
  21. PhineasC
    Takes the best precip north of the area, but still a decent run. Between the 12z and 18z basically. Onto the CMC.
  22. PhineasC
    Seems like a bigger cold press on the GFS through 108.
  23. PhineasC
    That's the sort of atmospheric river we need.
  24. PhineasC
    Still could be an EPS disaster.
  25. PhineasC
    18z Euro update from @ORH_wxman will soon bring me back to earth, I’m sure.
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