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PhineasC

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Everything posted by PhineasC

  1. PhineasC
    Live by the RGEM, die by the RGEM.
  2. PhineasC
    Straight from a warning to another watch maybe?
  3. PhineasC
    If the 18z Euro looks crappy later on, don't even post it. Let us enjoy this ride until about 1:00 AM, OK?
  4. PhineasC
    She’s crawling.
  5. PhineasC
    Tropical tidbits
  6. PhineasC
    A classic NAM run. One for the archives probably.
  7. PhineasC
    The king abdicates in favor of the court fool?
  8. PhineasC
    Looks like the Canadian models.
  9. PhineasC
    Prepare to be NAM’ed.
  10. PhineasC
    NAM looks better than 12z here. Basically nowcast time at this point.
  11. PhineasC
    Missing out on a storm like this down there means your whole winter might be over. The vibe in the MA forum right now is utter hopelessness. I think the bread and butter zone gang sometimes gets a little too high up into the clouds and forgets. LOL
  12. PhineasC
    One of the two camps will fold like a cheap lawn chair at 00z. Always hard to bet against the Euro, but it seems so wacky lately.
  13. PhineasC
    Tractor beams to full power.
  14. PhineasC
    Euro realizes its mistake and reverses back across the area.
  15. PhineasC
    OK, so just some model noise with banding/forcing instead of a fundamental geographic flaw. LOL No worries in that case.
  16. PhineasC
    Euro always shows up to the party like your dad or the cops. Total buzzkill every time.
  17. PhineasC
    Should I expect some downsloping/precip holes here with the precip coming up from the SW? This is my first SWFE here I think (in the winter at least). Models have a kinda spotty look near here now (more over Whitefield but close enough to have me wondering). Maybe it's just noise.
  18. PhineasC
    Euro did it too. Warmer and some dry air punches through here. Still a fine little event but more like 5 instead of 8. We'll see what happens.
  19. PhineasC
    The NAM twins have a spot of dry air and mixing that passes over me on the 12z runs. Not sure if that is real or just a burp. I assume it is trying to depict some downsloping or something?
  20. PhineasC
    Sick, sick run.
  21. PhineasC
    RGEM has looked great for several cycles. The Canadian models take a lot of flak, but they don't seem as jumpy as the GFS and the Euro. Doesn't mean they aren't wrong, of course. LOL At least they provide plenty of model beauty shots.
  22. PhineasC
    Euro still SE, looks nothing like CMC and GFS.
  23. PhineasC
    It also did well on Dec 5/6, at least in NNE.
  24. PhineasC
    Doesn't that sort of thing happen all the time there? You jut way out into the ocean.
  25. PhineasC
    If you want to sober up, the GFS v16 looks like a little more likely of a solution.
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