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PhineasC

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Everything posted by PhineasC

  1. 15" or so is my call from the synoptic piece. We will see what happens after the winds shift out of the NW with upslope. This storm seems to have a lot more to work with than the January 19th storm, and I pulled 15" out of the synoptic side of that, plus another 10-12 of upslope over the rest of the week.
  2. 18z Reginald upped totals here from 12z. Absolutely demolishes NW Vermont, a place I am told is only interested in 3" or so to freshen the pack. @powderfreak
  3. It tries too hard to capture convection and terrain effects. It often goes nuts here in minor upslope events showing a foot of snow when 1-2 inches is the ceiling.
  4. That was the greatest Euro run I have seen in years.
  5. And here comes another storm next weekend. What a weenie run of the Euro.
  6. Euro also turned the cutter into what looks like a SWFE snowstorm? LOL They definitely ran this one out of my basement.
  7. GFS/v16 versus CMC/Euro for the "cutter." The former still has rain and higher temps, the CMC and the Euro are a snowy SWFE it appears. Big differences.
  8. Over 1.5" liquid and still snowing. Best Euro run in several cycles for here.
  9. UKMET has been consistent for two runs in a row now. Round of applause, everyone.
  10. He should have great conditions by midweek. The eastern slopes should get hammered in this setup. I just hope there are no mixing issues over there. Should be fine, but the Canadian models punch some warmth up near him, I assume that's bogus.
  11. Yeah, if I am saying the run looks great that usually isn't a good sign for the beach houses.
  12. Where is @jculligan? This looks like a textbook setup for his house.
  13. Several models seem to overdo this. I have noticed they sometimes like to put the eastern upslope precip max further SE like over Jackson/Conway and have me in a sort of hole, but at verification the liquid max seems to always be up here.
  14. I figure I will race out ahead of the Northern Greens crew to a big lead on E/NE winds, and then they will rapidly catch up with a foot of fluff once the winds shift. It always seems to balance out somehow in the end.
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