Temp is finally dropping. Hasn't exactly been a barn buster here so far. Glad to see PF posting. The lack of updates from the typical NNE jackpot spots was not encouraging. I have about an inch down now. Temps super marginal all day. I guess I wasn't tracking that aspect.
All models seem locked in here for 6-8 still. This thing does seem to have changed into more of a synoptic event than the straight upslope for days event it looked like before.
This one seems dead. It's already though the usual "the models lose it in the mid range" period, right? The mesos have the start of this thing now and all are whiffs.
GGEM is the only model with a real storm now?
The NAM has been really jumpy for this event, it's really going bonkers on the coastal now. GFS and Euro have been a lot steadier.
The 18z HRRR also looked good. Tons of liquid everywhere on that run.
There was even a little more to come on that Euro map. But yeah the runs today mostly upped the ante for this event. NAM is still being weird. 6-8 seems like a good bet here with a possible boom to 10 if things pan out. I have seen it snow 2-3 inches of fluff here with nothing much on radar a bunch of times.